UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
San Jose, USA
19 Nov 2011
Lightweight
VS
28%
Tibau
72%
Anjos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
GT
Gleison Tibau
33 – 14
5'10"71" reachSouthpaw42 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
Rafael
Rafael Dos Anjos
32 – 17
Well-Rounded3-fight slide41 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'8"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Anjos

Anjos is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Anjos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tibau's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Anjos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Tibau
Anjos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
71"+
Reach
70"
42
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Tibau
Anjos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
38.8
43.2
Performance Avg
47.7
34
Quality of Victory
41
74
Momentum Score
49
Tibau
Anjos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.0
35%
Strike Accuracy
47%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
4
1
Body
3
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
9Distance8
2Clinch4
0Ground0
Tibau
Anjos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tibau
Anjos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
28/47 fights
Chin rating based on
36/49 fights
Tibau
Anjos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
49
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R5
Tibau
Anjos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
43%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
4
Submission Wins
5
11
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tibau
Anjos
Striking1.8 / 3.1Volume6.6 / 5.7Grappling3.6 / 3.3Wrestling2.5 / 2.3Submission2.5 / 2.4Pressure3.9 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.4
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Tibau
Strike Zones
Anjos
Tibau
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY5LEGS12 absorbed
Anjos
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY5LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tibau targets the head (82% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Anjos targets the legs (42% of attacks) — Tibau absorbs 42% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tibau
RND
Anjos
0/0R00/0

Tibau · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.9L4.5W5.2W4.7W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W2.0L4.0L3.5L5.5L2006-112009-042011-112014-072018-06
WinLossTrend

Anjos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L6.0L4.5W5.6W4.8W6.8L6.6L5.4W6.6L6.3L4.5W5.3W5.0L5.7W7.0L6.6L2.5L2008-112012-072015-122019-072024-10
WinLossTrend

Tibau · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · R1
Abel TrujilloRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 2
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Norman ParkeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01

Anjos · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente LuqueRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R5
Rafael FizievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07

News & Media

Gleison Tibau · Rafael Dos Anjos
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