METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
25 Jul 2026
Lightweight
VS
34%
Bonfim
66%
Sola
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:44
★ Official Result
Axel SolawinsSubmissionR1 · 4:44
def. Ismael Bonfim · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sola
→
Actual result
Sola wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Sola holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Bonfim has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sola has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Bonfim's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BonfimSola
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bonfim
Sola
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+74"
30
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Bonfim
Sola
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.1
74.8
37.3
Performance Avg
62.8
40
Quality of Victory
55
30
Momentum Score
100
Bonfim
Sola
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
8.2
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
9.3
4.7
Style: Volume
1.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
31
0
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch25
0Ground6
Bonfim
Sola
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bonfim
Sola
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Bonfim
Sola
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Bonfim
Sola
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bonfim
Sola
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.3
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.5
BonfimSola
Strike Zones
Bonfim
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedSola
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bonfim targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Sola absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Sola targets the head (94% of attacks) — Bonfim absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bonfim
RND
Sola
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bonfim · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Axel SolaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · KO · R2
Chris PadillaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · R1
Nazim SadykhovUFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Vinc PichelDecision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Sub · R1
Benoit Saint DenisSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
Sola · Last 4
W · KO · R1
Fares ZiamKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
W · Sub · R1
Ismael BonfimSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Mason JonesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Rhys McKeeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09