UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jun 2023
Welterweight
VS
40%
Nurmagomedov
60%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CFR 45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Santos
Santos holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Nurmagomedov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Santos throws more volume but Nurmagomedov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Santos has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Nurmagomedov
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
72"
Reach
+73"
36+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nurmagomedov
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.8
45.3
35.0
Performance Avg
49.3
25
Quality of Victory
39
56
Momentum Score
45
Nurmagomedov
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.7
61%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
10
2
Body
4
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
12Distance12
0Clinch6
0Ground0
Nurmagomedov
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nurmagomedov
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
28
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/21 fights
Chin rating based on
18/35 fights
Nurmagomedov
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
45
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Nurmagomedov
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
46%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nurmagomedov
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
NurmagomedovSantos
Strike Zones
Nurmagomedov
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedSantos
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (50% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (56% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nurmagomedov
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Nurmagomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Nurmagomedov · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Gadzhi OmargadzhievRating 4.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenRating 5Decision
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · Sub · R1
David ZawadaRating 1.5Submission
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Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Neil MagnyRating 3.4KO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
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W · KO · R1
Zachary ScrogginRating 5KO/TKO
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Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Upcoming
Rinat FakhretdinovDecision
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