METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jun 2023
Welterweight
VS
40%
Nurmagomedov
60%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CFR 45
★ Official Result
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Abubakar Nurmagomedov · UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Santos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Santos holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Nurmagomedov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Santos has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NurmagomedovSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nurmagomedov
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
72"
Reach
+73"
36+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nurmagomedov
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.8
45.3
35.0
Performance Avg
49.3
25
Quality of Victory
39
56
Momentum Score
45
Nurmagomedov
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
1.5
Style: Pressure
5.1
9.0
Style: Volume
5.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
10
2
Body
4
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
12Distance12
0Clinch6
0Ground0
Nurmagomedov
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.9
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nurmagomedov
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
28
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/21 fights
Chin rating based on
18/35 fights
Nurmagomedov
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
45
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Nurmagomedov
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
46%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nurmagomedov
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
NurmagomedovSantos
Strike Zones
Nurmagomedov
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedSantos
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (50% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (56% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nurmagomedov
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Nurmagomedov · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Gadzhi OmargadzhievDecision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenDecision
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · Sub · R1
David ZawadaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Neil MagnyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R2
Chidi NjokuaniKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Zachary ScrogginKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Upcoming
Rinat FakhretdinovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11