UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas
Las Vegas, USA
23 Mar 2024
Featherweight
VS
91%
Padilla
9%
Pajuelo
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:45
Fernando
Fernando Padilla
"El Valiente"
16 – 6
6'1"76" reachOrthodox29 yrsPressure Fighter
CFR 60
Luis
Luis Pajuelo
"Corazon de Leon"
8 – 2
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'10"
CFR 6

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Padilla

Padilla is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 54 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Padilla has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 57 points.

Padilla has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Padilla
Pajuelo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
69"
29+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Padilla
Pajuelo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.1
6.3
54.2
Performance Avg
0.0
57
Quality of Victory
0
58
Momentum Score
0
Padilla
Pajuelo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
4.4
2.0
44%
Strike Accuracy
39%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
1
6
Body
2
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
17Distance5
0Clinch0
17Ground0
Padilla
Pajuelo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Padilla
Pajuelo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/22 fights
Chin rating based on
1/10 fights
Padilla
Pajuelo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
0
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Padilla
Pajuelo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Padilla
Pajuelo
Striking6.0 / 0.0Volume1.0 / 0.0Grappling4.0 / 0.0Wrestling2.8 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure8.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Padilla
Strike Zones
Pajuelo
Padilla
Attacking
24HEAD6BODY4LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY2LEGS5 absorbed
Pajuelo
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY2LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD6BODY4LEGS34 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Padilla targets the head (71% of attacks) — Pajuelo absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Pajuelo targets the body (40% of attacks) — Padilla absorbs 40% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Padilla
RND
Pajuelo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Padilla · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W5.6L5.0W2.6L2023-042023-092024-032024-12
WinLossTrend

Padilla · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Sean WoodsonRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Sub · R1
Luis PajueloRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Kyle NelsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04

Pajuelo · Last 1

L · Sub · R1
Fernando PadillaRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

News & Media

Fernando Padilla · Luis Pajuelo
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