UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
Baku, Azerbaijan
21 Jun 2025
Heavyweight
VS
45%
Abdelwahab
55%
Usman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Hamdy
Hamdy Abdelwahab
"The Hammer"
7 – 1
6'2"72" reachSouthpaw33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Mohammed
Mohammed Usman
"The Motor"
12 – 4
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'2"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Usman

This is a genuine toss-up — Abdelwahab at 45% vs Usman at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Abdelwahab has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Abdelwahab
Usman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
72"
Reach
+79"
33+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Abdelwahab
Usman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.3
54.7
41.7
Performance Avg
46.2
25
Quality of Victory
33
60
Momentum Score
83
Abdelwahab
Usman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.4
56%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
20
4
Body
28
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
18Distance48
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Abdelwahab
Usman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Abdelwahab
Usman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/8 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Abdelwahab
Usman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
83
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Abdelwahab
Usman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Abdelwahab
Usman
Striking1.3 / 3.8Volume9.3 / 7.3Grappling2.4 / 1.8Wrestling1.7 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.0 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
Abdelwahab
Strike Zones
Usman
Abdelwahab
Attacking
12HEAD4BODY2LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD28BODY0LEGS48 absorbed
Usman
Attacking
20HEAD28BODY0LEGS48 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD4BODY2LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Abdelwahab targets the head (67% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Usman targets the body (58% of attacks) — Abdelwahab absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Abdelwahab
RND
Usman
0/0R00/0

Abdelwahab · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.7W6.5L5.5W2025-022025-062025-10
WinLossTrend

Usman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.2W5.3W4.5W6.6L5.5L5.0W2022-082023-042023-092024-032024-072025-06
WinLossTrend

Abdelwahab · Last 4

W · Dec · R3
Chris BarnettRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Jamal PoguesRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
Upcoming
Don'Tale Mayes
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07

Usman · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Hamdy AbdelwahabRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Thomas PetersenRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Junior TafaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04

News & Media

Hamdy Abdelwahab · Mohammed Usman
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