UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka
Dublin, Ireland
24 Oct 2015
Flyweight
VS
51%
Seery
49%
Reyes
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:12
NS
Neil Seery
"2Tap"
16 – 13
5'4"64" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
JD
Jon Delos Reyes
"The Heat"
8 – 5
Submission Hunter38 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'6"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Seery

This is a genuine toss-up — Seery at 51% vs Reyes at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Reyes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Reyes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Reyes has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Seery
Reyes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
64"
Reach
+67"
46
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Seery
Reyes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
14.9
37.0
Performance Avg
39.7
33
Quality of Victory
50
58
Momentum Score
22
Seery
Reyes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.6
40%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
9
1
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance10
2Clinch3
1Ground0
Seery
Reyes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.8
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Seery
Reyes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/29 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Seery
Reyes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
22
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Seery
Reyes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Seery
Reyes
Striking0.9 / 0.5Volume6.2 / 0.5Grappling4.3 / 8.0Wrestling3.0 / 5.6Submission3.3 / 10.0Pressure3.6 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Seery
Strike Zones
Reyes
Seery
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Reyes
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Seery targets the head (80% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Reyes targets the head (69% of attacks) — Seery absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Seery
RND
Reyes
0/0R00/0

Seery · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W7.0L5.3L2014-032015-012015-102017-07
WinLossTrend

Reyes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.1
0101.5L3.0L5.2W2.8L2014-012014-092015-052015-10
WinLossTrend

Seery · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Alexandre PantojaRating 5.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Sub · R2
Jon Delos ReyesRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Louis SmolkaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Chris BealRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

Reyes · Last 4

L · Sub · R2
Neil SeeryRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
W · Sub · R2
Roldan Sangcha'anRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
L · KO · R1
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
L · Sub · R1
Dustin KimuraRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · 2014-01

News & Media

Neil Seery · Jon Delos Reyes
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