UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Vancouver, Canada
18 Oct 2025
Bantamweight
VS
49%
Jourdain
51%
Grant
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:05
Charles
Charles Jourdain
"Air"
18 – 8
5'9"69" reachSwitch30 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 50
Davey
Davey Grant
"Dangerous"
18 – 8
Well-Rounded40 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 52

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Grant

This is a genuine toss-up — Jourdain at 49% vs Grant at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Jourdain has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Jourdain's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Grant has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Jourdain
Grant
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
69"
30+
Age
40
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Jourdain
Grant
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.4
51.7
48.6
Performance Avg
44.2
44
Quality of Victory
36
51
Momentum Score
85
Jourdain
Grant
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
2.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
3
5
Body
1
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
17Distance9
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Jourdain
Grant
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.4
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jourdain
Grant
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
46
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
16/26 fights
Jourdain
Grant
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
85
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Jourdain
Grant
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
44%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
4
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jourdain
Grant
Striking3.4 / 4.5Volume3.8 / 5.6Grappling4.4 / 2.2Wrestling3.0 / 1.6Submission4.4 / 1.1Pressure6.3 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
4.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
Jourdain
Strike Zones
Grant
Jourdain
Attacking
20HEAD5BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY5LEGS9 absorbed
Grant
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY5LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD5BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jourdain targets the head (80% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Grant targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Jourdain absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jourdain
RND
Grant
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Jourdain · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L7.0W6.2L5.5W4.2L4.5W5.5W5.5L6.3L5.3W5.1W6.6L4.3L6.1W5.8W5.2W2019-052021-092022-092024-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Grant · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0102.8L5.3W4.0L1.5L4.5W5.5W5.8W6.3L6.9L5.5W5.5W6.8L4.5W5.5W2.3L4.5W2013-112019-112021-112024-122026-04
WinLossTrend

Jourdain · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Davey GrantRating 5.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Sub · R2
Victor HenryRating 6.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Jean SilvaRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

Grant · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Adrian Luna MartinettiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Sub · R1
Charles JourdainRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Ramon TaverasRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Daniel MarcosRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07

News & Media

Charles Jourdain · Davey Grant
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