METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Vancouver, Canada
18 Oct 2025
Bantamweight
VS
49%
Jourdain
51%
Grant
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:05
★ Official Result
Charles JourdainwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:05
def. Davey Grant · UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Grant
→
Actual result
Jourdain wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jourdain at 49% vs Grant at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jourdain has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jourdain's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Grant has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JourdainGrant
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jourdain
Grant
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
69"
30+
Age
40
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Jourdain
Grant
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.4
51.7
48.6
Performance Avg
44.2
44
Quality of Victory
36
51
Momentum Score
85
Jourdain
Grant
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
2.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
3
5
Body
1
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
17Distance9
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Jourdain
Grant
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.4
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jourdain
Grant
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
46
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
16/26 fights
Jourdain
Grant
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
85
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Jourdain
Grant
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
44%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
4
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jourdain
Grant
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
4.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
JourdainGrant
Strike Zones
Jourdain
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedGrant
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jourdain targets the head (80% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Grant targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Jourdain absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jourdain
RND
Grant
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jourdain · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Grant · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Jourdain · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Davey GrantRating 5.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Sub · R2
Victor HenryRating 6.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Jean SilvaRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Grant · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Adrian Luna MartinettiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Sub · R1
Charles JourdainRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Ramon TaverasRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Daniel MarcosRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07