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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2022
Featherweight
VS
50%
Quarantillo
50%
Hernandez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:30
Billy
Billy Quarantillo
18 – 7
5'10"70" reachOrthodox37 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Alexander
Alexander Hernandez
"El Gran Chango"
18 – 9
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 53
★ Official Result
Billy QuarantillowinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:30
def. Alexander Hernandez · UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Quarantillo
→
Actual result
Quarantillo wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Quarantillo at 50% vs Hernandez at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Quarantillo's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hernandez has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
QuarantilloHernandez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Quarantillo
Hernandez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+72"
37
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Quarantillo
Hernandez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.6
52.9
45.5
Performance Avg
47.4
42
Quality of Victory
42
78
Momentum Score
90
Quarantillo
Hernandez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
6.2
Style: Pressure
5.2
3.7
Style: Volume
5.1
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
52
Head
12
11
Body
2
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
35Distance15
19Clinch1
14Ground0
Quarantillo
Hernandez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Quarantillo
Hernandez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
14
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
19/27 fights
Quarantillo
Hernandez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
90
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Quarantillo
Hernandez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Quarantillo
Hernandez
Striking6.0 / 6.1Volume3.7 / 5.1Grappling2.1 / 1.2Wrestling1.5 / 0.8Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure6.2 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Quarantillo
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Quarantillo
Attacking
52HEAD11BODY5LEGS68 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD2BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Hernandez
Attacking
12HEAD2BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
52HEAD11BODY5LEGS68 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Quarantillo targets the head (76% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Hernandez targets the head (75% of attacks) — Quarantillo absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Quarantillo
RND
Hernandez
0/0R00/0

Quarantillo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Diego Ferreira
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
L · KO · R3
Cub Swanson
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Sub · R2
Youssef Zalal
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Damon Jackson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Edson Barboza
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

Hernandez · Last 5

Upcoming
Rafael Dos Anjos
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
L · Dec · R3
Rafa Garcia
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Diego Ferreira
KO/TKO
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Chase Hooper
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Kurt Holobaugh
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03

News & Media

Billy Quarantillo · Alexander Hernandez
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