UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2022
Featherweight
VS
52%
Quarantillo
48%
Hernandez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:30
Billy
Billy Quarantillo
18 – 7
5'10"70" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 58
Alexander
Alexander Hernandez
"El Gran Chango"
18 – 9
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 53

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Quarantillo

This is a genuine toss-up — Quarantillo at 52% vs Hernandez at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Quarantillo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Quarantillo's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hernandez has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Quarantillo
Hernandez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+72"
37
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Quarantillo
Hernandez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.1
52.9
47.3
Performance Avg
47.4
42
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
90
Quarantillo
Hernandez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.8
57%
Strike Accuracy
43%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
52
Head
12
11
Body
2
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
35Distance15
19Clinch1
14Ground0
Quarantillo
Hernandez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Quarantillo
Hernandez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
14
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/25 fights
Chin rating based on
18/27 fights
Quarantillo
Hernandez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
90
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Quarantillo
Hernandez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Quarantillo
Hernandez
Striking6.1 / 6.1Volume3.8 / 5.1Grappling2.1 / 1.2Wrestling1.5 / 0.8Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure6.3 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Quarantillo
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Quarantillo
Attacking
52HEAD11BODY5LEGS68 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD2BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Hernandez
Attacking
12HEAD2BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
52HEAD11BODY5LEGS68 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Quarantillo targets the head (76% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Hernandez targets the head (75% of attacks) — Quarantillo absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Quarantillo
RND
Hernandez
0/0R00/0

Quarantillo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.2W4.5W5.6W5.5L5.7W5.5L6.1W2.0L4.8W3.8L4.5L2019-122020-122022-122024-032024-12
WinLossTrend

Hernandez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0106.0W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.0L5.0W5.7L5.0W3.5L3.9L4.9W5.7L5.8L4.5W4.5W5.8W6.3W6.3L2018-032020-102023-022025-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Quarantillo · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Cub SwansonRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Sub · R2
Youssef ZalalRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · KO · R2
Alexander HernandezRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12

Hernandez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Chase HooperRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Kurt HolobaughRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10

News & Media

Billy Quarantillo · Alexander Hernandez
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