UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
Baku, Azerbaijan
21 Jun 2025
Lightweight
VS
47%
Fiziev
53%
Bahamondes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bahamondes
This is a genuine toss-up — Fiziev at 47% vs Bahamondes at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Bahamondes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Bahamondes throws more volume but Fiziev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Fiziev's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Fiziev
Bahamondes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'3"
71"
Reach
+75"
33
Age
+28
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Fiziev
Bahamondes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.2
60.3
45.6
Performance Avg
53.4
37
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
64
Fiziev
Bahamondes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.3
56%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
14
10
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
22Distance15
4Clinch2
4Ground0
Fiziev
Bahamondes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.1
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fiziev
Bahamondes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/18 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Fiziev
Bahamondes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
64
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Fiziev
Bahamondes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
83%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fiziev
Bahamondes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.1
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
FizievBahamondes
Strike Zones
Fiziev
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedBahamondes
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fiziev targets the head (63% of attacks) — Bahamondes absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Bahamondes targets the head (82% of attacks) — Fiziev absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fiziev
RND
Bahamondes
0/0R00/0
Fiziev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Bahamondes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Fiziev · Last 5
Upcoming
Manuel TorresUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Mauricio RuffyRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
Bahamondes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tofiq MusayevRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Rafael FizievRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Sub · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 6.2Submission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 7.1KO/TKO
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · KO · R1
Christos GiagosRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04