METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale
Las Vegas, USA
4 Dec 2010
Lightweight
VS
17%
Chivitchian
83%
Watson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Kyle WatsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sako Chivitchian · The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Watson
→
Actual result
Watson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Watson is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Watson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Watson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ChivitchianWatson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Chivitchian
Watson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
42+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Chivitchian
Watson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.7
13.6
0.0
Performance Avg
35.0
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
55
Chivitchian
Watson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
0.8
22%
Strike Accuracy
35%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
9
3
Body
9
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
7Distance20
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Chivitchian
Watson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chivitchian
Watson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/9 fights
Chin rating based on
2/21 fights
Chivitchian
Watson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
55
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Chivitchian
Watson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chivitchian
Watson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
ChivitchianWatson
Strike Zones
Chivitchian
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedWatson
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Chivitchian targets the head (55% of attacks) — Watson absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Watson targets the head (43% of attacks) — Chivitchian absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chivitchian
RND
Watson
0/0R00/0
Watson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Chivitchian · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Kyle WatsonRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
Watson · Last 2
L · KO · R3
John MakdessiRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Dec · R3
Sako ChivitchianRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12