The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale
Las Vegas, USA
4 Dec 2010
Lightweight
VS
17%
Chivitchian
83%
Watson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SC
Sako Chivitchian
8 – 1
5'11"Orthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 3
KW
Kyle Watson
13 – 8
Well-Rounded46 yrsSouthpaw6'0"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Watson

Watson is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Watson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Watson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Chivitchian
Watson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
42+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Chivitchian
Watson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.7
13.6
0.0
Performance Avg
35.0
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
55
Chivitchian
Watson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.8
22%
Strike Accuracy
35%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
9
3
Body
9
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
7Distance20
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Chivitchian
Watson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chivitchian
Watson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/9 fights
Chin rating based on
2/21 fights
Chivitchian
Watson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
55
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Chivitchian
Watson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Chivitchian
Watson
Striking0.0 / 1.0Volume0.0 / 9.0Grappling0.0 / 2.4Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Chivitchian
Strike Zones
Watson
Chivitchian
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD9BODY3LEGS21 absorbed
Watson
Attacking
9HEAD9BODY3LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Chivitchian targets the head (55% of attacks) — Watson absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Watson targets the head (43% of attacks) — Chivitchian absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Chivitchian
RND
Watson
0/0R00/0

Watson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W4.0L2010-122011-04
WinLossTrend

Chivitchian · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Kyle WatsonRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12

Watson · Last 2

L · KO · R3
John MakdessiRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Dec · R3
Sako ChivitchianRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12

News & Media

Sako Chivitchian · Kyle Watson
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