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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis
Seattle, USA
26 Mar 2011
Welterweight
VS
51%
Hendricks
49%
Waldburger
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:35
JH
Johny Hendricks
"Bigg Rigg"
188
5'9"69" reachSouthpaw42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
TW
TJ Waldburger
169
Submission Hunter2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'11"
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Johny HendrickswinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:35
def. TJ Waldburger · UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hendricks
Actual result
Hendricks wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Hendricks at 51% vs Waldburger at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Hendricks's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Waldburger has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HendricksWaldburger
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Hendricks
Waldburger
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+75"
42
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hendricks
Waldburger
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
16.9
48.2
Performance Avg
47.4
39
Quality of Victory
46
80
Momentum Score
50
Hendricks
Waldburger
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
6.8
6.2
Style: Volume
3.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
4
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
2Clinch1
3Ground0
Hendricks
Waldburger
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
6.6
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
7.5
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hendricks
Waldburger
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
21/26 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Hendricks
Waldburger
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Hendricks
Waldburger
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
75%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hendricks
Waldburger
Striking5.1 / 1.0Volume6.2 / 3.0Grappling1.5 / 6.6Wrestling1.0 / 4.6Submission0.0 / 7.5Pressure4.5 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.5
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
Hendricks
Strike Zones
Waldburger
Hendricks
Attacking
3HEAD4BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Waldburger
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD4BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hendricks targets the body (57% of attacks) — Waldburger absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Waldburger targets the body (67% of attacks) — Hendricks absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hendricks
RND
Waldburger
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Hendricks · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Paulo Costa
KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Tim Boetsch
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Hector Lombard
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Neil Magny
Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin Gastelum
Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07

Waldburger · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Mike Pyle
KO/TKO
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
L · KO · R1
Adlan Amagov
KO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
W · Sub · R2
Nick Catone
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
L · Dec · R3
Brian Ebersole
Decision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Jake Hecht
Submission
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · 2012-03

News & Media

Johny Hendricks · TJ Waldburger
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