The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale
Las Vegas, USA
4 Jun 2011
Middleweight
VS
62%
Herman
38%
Credeur
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:48
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Herman
Herman holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Credeur has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Credeur has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Credeur throws more volume but Herman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Herman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Herman
Credeur
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
77"+
Reach
75"
45+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Herman
Credeur
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
23.4
47.4
Performance Avg
56.9
44
Quality of Victory
55
82
Momentum Score
85
Herman
Credeur
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.0
47%
Strike Accuracy
30%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
9
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance11
1Clinch0
4Ground0
Herman
Credeur
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Herman
Credeur
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/43 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
Herman
Credeur
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
85
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Herman
Credeur
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Herman
Credeur
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
HermanCredeur
Strike Zones
Herman
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedCredeur
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Herman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Credeur absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Credeur targets the head (82% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Herman
RND
Credeur
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Herman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Credeur · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Herman · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.4KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4Decision
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W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 5.5Submission
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W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5Decision
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W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
Credeur · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ed HermanRating 1.7KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Nate QuarryRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
W · Sub · R2
Nick CatoneRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann · 2009-04
W · KO · R2
Nate LoughranRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops · 2008-12
W · KO · R1
Cale YarbroughRating 5KO/TKO
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