METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
19 Mar 2022
Lightweight
VS
39%
Herbert
61%
Topuria
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:07
★ Official Result
Ilia TopuriawinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:07
def. Jai Herbert · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Topuria
→
Actual result
Topuria wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Topuria holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Herbert has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Topuria has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Risk flags
Herbert's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HerbertTopuria
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Herbert
Topuria
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'7"
77"+
Reach
69"
38
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Herbert
Topuria
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.6
78.3
43.3
Performance Avg
73.5
43
Quality of Victory
62
74
Momentum Score
100
Herbert
Topuria
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.9
/ 10
8.5
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
8.1
4.9
Style: Volume
3.6
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
6
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Herbert
Topuria
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Herbert
Topuria
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
10/17 fights
Herbert
Topuria
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
100
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R4
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
Herbert
Topuria
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
78%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Herbert
Topuria
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
HerbertTopuria
Strike Zones
Herbert
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTopuria
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Herbert targets the head (67% of attacks) — Topuria absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Topuria targets the head (75% of attacks) — Herbert absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Herbert
RND
Topuria
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Herbert · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Mandel NalloKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris PadillaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamDecision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
Upcoming
Ludovit KleinDecision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
Topuria · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Charles OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Max HollowayKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiKO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06