UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
19 Mar 2022
Lightweight
VS
38%
Herbert
62%
Topuria
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:07
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Topuria
Topuria holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Herbert has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Topuria has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Topuria has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Herbert's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Herbert
Topuria
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'7"
77"+
Reach
69"
38
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Herbert
Topuria
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.6
82.3
43.3
Performance Avg
77.5
43
Quality of Victory
62
74
Momentum Score
100
Herbert
Topuria
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.6
45%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
6
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Herbert
Topuria
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Herbert
Topuria
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
10/17 fights
Herbert
Topuria
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
100
Current form
9-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
Herbert
Topuria
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
78%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Herbert
Topuria
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
HerbertTopuria
Strike Zones
Herbert
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTopuria
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Herbert targets the head (67% of attacks) — Topuria absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Topuria targets the head (75% of attacks) — Herbert absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Herbert
RND
Topuria
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Herbert · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Topuria · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Herbert · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Mandel NalloRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris PadillaRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
Upcoming
Ludovit KleinDecision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
Topuria · Last 5
Upcoming
Justin GaethjeUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Charles OliveiraRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6.6KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06