UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez
Phoenix, USA
17 Feb 2019
Lightweight
VS
45%
Vick
55%
Felder
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Felder
This is a genuine toss-up — Vick at 45% vs Felder at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Vick throws more volume but Felder connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Vick's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Vick
Felder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
70"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vick
Felder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
21.7
50.2
Performance Avg
49.0
41
Quality of Victory
42
71
Momentum Score
100
Vick
Felder
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.3
39%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
12
5
Body
2
7
Leg
9
RangeRange
20Distance20
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Vick
Felder
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.7
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vick
Felder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
88
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/18 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Vick
Felder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Vick
Felder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
56%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vick
Felder
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
VickFelder
Strike Zones
Vick
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedFelder
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vick targets the head (40% of attacks) — Felder absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Felder targets the head (52% of attacks) — Vick absorbs 52% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vick
RND
Felder
0/0R00/0
Vick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Felder · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Vick · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Dan HookerRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Justin GaethjeRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
Felder · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Dec · R5
Dan HookerRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 5Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
James VickRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Mike PerryRating 5.5Decision
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07