UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
Atlantic City, USA
21 Apr 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
60%
Anderson
40%
Cummins
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Anderson
Anderson holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Cummins has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Cummins has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Anderson's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cummins has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Anderson
Cummins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
79"+
Reach
76"
36+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Anderson
Cummins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
12.7
50.1
Performance Avg
39.0
39
Quality of Victory
34
98
Momentum Score
45
Anderson
Cummins
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.8
47%
Strike Accuracy
54%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
4
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
2Clinch2
1Ground0
Anderson
Cummins
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anderson
Cummins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/19 fights
Chin rating based on
13/17 fights
Anderson
Cummins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
45
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Anderson
Cummins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Anderson
Cummins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
AndersonCummins
Strike Zones
Anderson
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedCummins
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anderson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cummins absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Cummins targets the head (80% of attacks) — Anderson absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Anderson
RND
Cummins
0/0R00/0
Anderson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Cummins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Anderson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jan BlachowiczRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Patrick CumminsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
Cummins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ed HermanRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
L · Sub · R1
Misha CirkunovRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.1Decision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04