METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Las Vegas, USA
7 Mar 2026
Flyweight
VS
48%
52%
Aguilar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sumudaerji winsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jesus Aguilar · UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Aguilar
→
Actual result
wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — at 48% vs Aguilar at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Aguilar has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
Aguilar
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Aguilar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'4"
72"+
Reach
62"
30
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Aguilar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.6
52.3
42.5
Performance Avg
47.5
31
Quality of Victory
41
75
Momentum Score
60
Aguilar
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
1.0
52%
Strike Accuracy
35%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
7
4
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
25Distance12
3Clinch0
1Ground0
Aguilar
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Aguilar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/26 fights
Chin rating based on
8/16 fights
Aguilar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
60
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Aguilar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aguilar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Strike Zones
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedAguilar
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (86% of attacks) — Aguilar absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Aguilar targets the head (58% of attacks) — absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
RND
Aguilar
0/0R00/0
· QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Aguilar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
· Last 5
Upcoming
Alex PerezUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Jesus AguilarRating 5.4Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin BorjasRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Mitch RaposoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
Aguilar · Last 5
Upcoming
Rei TsuruyaUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
SumudaerjiRating 6.1Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Luis GuruleRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Rafael EstevamRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R1
Stewart NicollRating 5Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08