Sumudaerji vs Jesus Aguilar

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2

Las Vegas, USA

7 Mar 2026

Flyweight

48%

52%

Aguilar

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Sumudaerji

"The Tibetan Eagle"

19 – 7

5'8"72" reachSouthpaw30 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 48

Jesus Aguilar

12 – 4

Well-Rounded30 yrsOrthodox62" reach5'4"

CFR 52

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Aguilar

This is a genuine toss-up — at 48% vs Aguilar at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Aguilar has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Aguilar

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'8"+

Height

5'4"

72"+

Reach

62"

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Aguilar

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

47.6

52.3

42.5

Performance Avg

47.5

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Aguilar

Striking

Significant strikes per minute & accuracy

1.8

1.0

52%

Strike Accuracy

35%

2.9

Striking Style Score (/10)

3.6

1 KOs

KO Finishes

1 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

25Distance12

3Clinch0

1Ground0

Aguilar

Grappling

Takedowns, submissions & wrestling

—

0.4

Sub Attempts / fight

—

2.0

Grappling Style Score (/10)

3.2

1.4

Wrestling Style Score (/10)

2.2

0:00

Control Time (this fight)

0:00

Reversals

Aguilar

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

11/26 fights

Chin rating based on

8/16 fights

Aguilar

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

Aguilar

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

17%

50%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Aguilar

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

2.9

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.6

2.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.2

1.4

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.2

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.5

3.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.2

7.9

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.1

Strike Zones

Aguilar

Attacking

29 landed

Absorbing

12 absorbed

Aguilar

Attacking

12 landed

Absorbing

29 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯 targets the head (86% of attacks) — Aguilar absorbs 86% of strikes there

🎯Aguilar targets the head (58% of attacks) — absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

RND

Aguilar

0/0R00/0

· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2

WinLossTrend

Aguilar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9

WinLossTrend

· Last 5

Upcoming

Alex Perez

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05

W · Dec · R3

Jesus AguilarRating 5.4

Decision

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03

W · Dec · R3

Kevin BorjasRating 4.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08

W · Dec · R3

Mitch RaposoRating 4.5

Decision

UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04

L · Dec · R3

Charles JohnsonRating 6.4

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

Aguilar · Last 5

Upcoming

Rei Tsuruya

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05

L · Dec · R3

SumudaerjiRating 6.1

Decision

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03

W · Dec · R3

Luis GuruleRating 4.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09

L · Dec · R3

Rafael EstevamRating 6.1

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02

W · Sub · R1

Stewart NicollRating 5

Submission

UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08

News & Media

Sumudaerji · Jesus Aguilar

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