UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva
Stockholm, Sweden
14 Apr 2012
Welterweight
VS
38%
Abedi
62%
Head
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Head
Head holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Abedi has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Head has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Head throws more volume but Abedi connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Abedi's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Head has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Abedi
Head
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
Reach
73"
47
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Abedi
Head
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.5
15.3
25.0
Performance Avg
39.7
25
Quality of Victory
40
33
Momentum Score
51
Abedi
Head
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
53%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
16
2
Body
5
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance9
2Clinch10
3Ground2
Abedi
Head
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Abedi
Head
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/14 fights
Chin rating based on
5/13 fights
Abedi
Head
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
51
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Abedi
Head
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Abedi
Head
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
AbediHead
Strike Zones
Abedi
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedHead
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Abedi targets the head (64% of attacks) — Head absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Head targets the head (76% of attacks) — Abedi absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Abedi
RND
Head
0/0R00/0
Abedi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.9WinLossTrend
Head · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Abedi · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Dylan AndrewsRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
W · Dec · R3
Besam YousefRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
L · Sub · R1
James HeadRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Sub · R1
Thiago AlvesRating 1.5Submission
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
Head · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jason HighRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
L · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
W · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 4.5Decision
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
W · Sub · R1
Papy AbediRating 5Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Sub · R3
Nick RingRating 4Submission
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06