★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 87: Seek And Destroy
Minneapolis, USA
9 Aug 2008
Welterweight
VS
54%
St-Pierre
46%
Fitch
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: St-Pierre
This is a genuine toss-up — St-Pierre at 54% vs Fitch at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
St-Pierre has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Striking split: Fitch throws more volume but St-Pierre connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
St-Pierre's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
St-Pierre
Fitch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
76"+
Reach
74"
45+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
St-Pierre
Fitch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.6
21.0
67.2
Performance Avg
52.4
51
Quality of Victory
32
100
Momentum Score
100
St-Pierre
Fitch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
57%
Strike Accuracy
57%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
1
6
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance1
0Clinch0
11Ground0
St-Pierre
Fitch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.4
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
St-Pierre
Fitch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
18/37 fights
St-Pierre
Fitch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
13-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
St-Pierre
Fitch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
29%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
3
12
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
St-Pierre
Fitch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.4
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
1.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.1
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
St-PierreFitch
Strike Zones
St-Pierre
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedFitch
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯St-Pierre targets the head (63% of attacks) — Fitch absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Fitch targets the head (100% of attacks) — St-Pierre absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
St-Pierre
RND
Fitch
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0
St-Pierre · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Fitch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
St-Pierre · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.2Submission
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R5
Johny HendricksRating 4.5Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
W · Dec · R5
Nick DiazRating 4.5Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
W · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditRating 4.5Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · Dec · R5
Jake ShieldsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
Fitch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Erick SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Johny HendricksRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
Upcoming
BJ PennDecision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08