METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares
Austin, USA
15 Sept 2010
Lightweight
VS
21%
Escudero
79%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:25
CFR 63
★ Official Result
Charles OliveirawinsSubmissionR3 · 2:25
def. Efrain Escudero · UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oliveira
→
Actual result
Oliveira wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Oliveira is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Escudero's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EscuderoOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Escudero
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+74"
40
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Escudero
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
63.3
48.3
Performance Avg
58.6
53
Quality of Victory
51
40
Momentum Score
100
Escudero
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
4.0
Style: Pressure
8.0
5.6
Style: Volume
2.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
1
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
3Distance8
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Escudero
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.1
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.8
1
Submission wins
17
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Escudero
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
4
—
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/40 fights
Chin rating based on
37/48 fights
Escudero
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Escudero
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
84%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
17
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Escudero
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.1
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.8
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
EscuderoOliveira
Strike Zones
Escudero
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Escudero targets the head (50% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (33% of attacks) — Escudero absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Escudero
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Escudero · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kevin LeeDecision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Leandro SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
W · Sub · R1
Drew DoberSubmission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Rodrigo de LimaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Leonardo SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
Oliveira · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerDecision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04