METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2025
Heavyweight
VS
7%
Sharaf
93%
Asplund
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:49
★ Official Result
Steven AsplundwinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:49
def. Sean Sharaf · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Asplund
→
Actual result
Asplund wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Asplund is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 59 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Asplund has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.
Asplund has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sharaf's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SharafAsplund
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sharaf
Asplund
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'5"
77"
Reach
+78"
33
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sharaf
Asplund
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
4.5
63.7
0.0
Performance Avg
53.0
0
Quality of Victory
55
0
Momentum Score
71
Sharaf
Asplund
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
5.6
38%
Strike Accuracy
58%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
93
5
Body
3
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
23Distance96
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Sharaf
Asplund
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Sharaf
Asplund
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/6 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Sharaf
Asplund
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
71
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Sharaf
Asplund
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sharaf
Asplund
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
SharafAsplund
Strike Zones
Sharaf
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
99 absorbedAsplund
Attacking
99 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sharaf targets the head (78% of attacks) — Asplund absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Asplund targets the head (94% of attacks) — Sharaf absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sharaf
RND
Asplund
0/0R00/0
Sharaf · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Asplund · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Sharaf · Last 2
L · KO · R2
Steven AsplundRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · KO · R2
Junior TafaRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
Asplund · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Sean SharafRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12