UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2025
Heavyweight
VS
7%
Sharaf
93%
Asplund
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:49
Sean
Sean Sharaf
"The Smoke"
4 – 2
6'3"77" reachOrthodox32 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 5
Steven
Steven Asplund
"Concrete"
7 – 2
Knockout Artist27 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'5"
CFR 64

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Asplund

Asplund is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 59 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Asplund has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.

Asplund has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sharaf's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sharaf
Asplund
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'5"
77"
Reach
+78"
32
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sharaf
Asplund
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
4.5
63.7
0.0
Performance Avg
53.0
0
Quality of Victory
55
0
Momentum Score
71
Sharaf
Asplund
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
5.6
38%
Strike Accuracy
58%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
93
5
Body
3
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
23Distance96
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Sharaf
Asplund
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Sharaf
Asplund
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/6 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Sharaf
Asplund
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
71
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Sharaf
Asplund
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sharaf
Asplund
Striking0.0 / 10.0Volume0.0 / 1.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Sharaf
Strike Zones
Asplund
Sharaf
Attacking
18HEAD5BODY0LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
93HEAD3BODY3LEGS99 absorbed
Asplund
Attacking
93HEAD3BODY3LEGS99 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD5BODY0LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sharaf targets the head (78% of attacks) — Asplund absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Asplund targets the head (94% of attacks) — Sharaf absorbs 94% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sharaf
RND
Asplund
0/0R00/0

Sharaf · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0103.6L4.2L2024-102025-12
WinLossTrend

Asplund · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9
0105.2W6.6L2025-122026-03
WinLossTrend

Sharaf · Last 2

L · KO · R2
Steven AsplundRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · KO · R2
Junior TafaRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10

Asplund · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Sean SharafRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

News & Media

Sean Sharaf · Steven Asplund
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