METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Chicago, USA
8 Jun 2019
Middleweight
VS
24%
Lewis
76%
Stewart
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Darren StewartwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Bevon Lewis · UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stewart
→
Actual result
Stewart wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Stewart is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Stewart has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Stewart has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lewis's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stewart has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LewisStewart
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lewis
Stewart
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
74"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lewis
Stewart
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.4
26.9
25.0
Performance Avg
42.3
25
Quality of Victory
43
17
Momentum Score
68
Lewis
Stewart
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
1.4
28%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
2
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance4
4Clinch2
0Ground0
Lewis
Stewart
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lewis
Stewart
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/10 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Lewis
Stewart
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
68
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Lewis
Stewart
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lewis
Stewart
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
LewisStewart
Strike Zones
Lewis
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedStewart
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lewis targets the head (40% of attacks) — Stewart absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Stewart targets the head (33% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lewis
RND
Stewart
0/0R00/0
Lewis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Stewart · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Lewis · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Trevin GilesRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Dequan TownsendRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Dec · R3
Darren StewartRating 5.5Decision
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
L · KO · R3
Uriah HallRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
Stewart · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
Upcoming
Eryk AndersUFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Sub · R1
Maki PitoloRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08