METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
New York City, USA
6 Nov 2021
Featherweight
VS
38%
Burgos
62%
Quarantillo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Shane BurgoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Billy Quarantillo · UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Quarantillo
→
Actual result
Burgos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Quarantillo holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Burgos has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Burgos's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Quarantillo has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BurgosQuarantillo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Burgos
Quarantillo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
70"
35+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Burgos
Quarantillo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.9
52.6
50.0
Performance Avg
45.5
35
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
78
Burgos
Quarantillo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
6.2
6.5
Style: Volume
3.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
41
Head
37
10
Body
9
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
38Distance39
18Clinch8
1Ground0
Burgos
Quarantillo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Burgos
Quarantillo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
12/25 fights
Burgos
Quarantillo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Burgos
Quarantillo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Burgos
Quarantillo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
BurgosQuarantillo
Strike Zones
Burgos
Attacking
57 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedQuarantillo
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
57 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Burgos targets the head (72% of attacks) — Quarantillo absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Quarantillo targets the head (79% of attacks) — Burgos absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Burgos
RND
Quarantillo
0/0R00/0
Burgos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloDecision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R3
Edson BarbozaKO/TKO
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Josh EmmettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
W · KO · R3
Makwan AmirkhaniKO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
Quarantillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Diego FerreiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
L · KO · R3
Cub SwansonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Sub · R2
Youssef ZalalSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04