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UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
Brisbane, Australia
19 Mar 2016
Welterweight
VS
20%
Lombard
80%
Magny
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 Β· 0:46
HL
Hector Lombard
34 – 10
5'9"71" reachSouthpaw48 yrs6-fight slideStriker
CFR 12
Neil
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31 – 15
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'3"
CFR 48
β˜… Official Result
Neil MagnywinsKO/TKOR3 Β· 0:46
def. Hector Lombard Β· UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Magny
β†’
Actual result
Magny wins
KO/TKO Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

Magny is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lombard has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 13 points.

Magny has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lombard's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Magny has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
LombardMagny
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Lombard
Magny
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'3"
71"
Reach
+80"
48
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lombard
Magny
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.7
47.5
39.9
Performance Avg
47.4
48
Quality of Victory
36
0
Momentum Score
75
Lombard
Magny
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
50%
7.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
17
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance6
1Clinch5
0Ground8
Lombard
Magny
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lombard
Magny
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
6
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
12/44 fights
Chin rating based on
37/46 fights
Lombard
Magny
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
0
75
6-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R2
Last 5
L Β· Sub Β· R1
W Β· Sub Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R1
Lombard
Magny
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
42%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
14

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lombard
Magny
Striking7.2 / 4.2Volume3.2 / 6.0Grappling0.8 / 2.4Wrestling0.6 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 1.3Pressure5.5 / 4.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Lombard
Strike Zones
Magny
Lombard
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD2BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Magny
Attacking
17HEAD2BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lombard targets the head (100% of attacks) β€” Magny absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Magny targets the head (89% of attacks) β€” Lombard absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Lombard
RND
Magny
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Lombard Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.6L2.8L5.5L5.2L4.0L5.5L2012-072013-102016-062018-032018-09
WinLossTrend

Magny Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W4.6W5.2W4.5W5.5W5.5W5.2W2.8L4.5W4.8W5.5W1.5L4.5W1.7L4.5W5.0W3.9L5.3W4.5W4.8W6.3L5.5W5.1W4.8L6.4W1.7L5.6W7.0L7.3W3.6L3.7L5.8W6.5W3.7L2013-022015-082020-032023-082025-12
WinLossTrend

Lombard Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Thales LeitesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders Β· 2018-09
L Β· R1
CB DollawayRating 4
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya Β· 2018-03
L Β· KO Β· R3
Anthony SmithRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch Β· 2017-09
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne Β· 2017-02
L Β· KO Β· R2
Dan HendersonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 Β· 2016-06

Magny Β· Last 5

L Β· Sub Β· R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape Β· 2025-12
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes Β· 2025-09
W Β· KO Β· R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park Β· 2025-08
L Β· KO Β· R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates Β· 2024-11
L Β· KO Β· R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho Β· 2024-08

News & Media

Hector Lombard Β· Neil Magny
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