METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson
Portland, USA
1 Oct 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Silva
47%
Christensen
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:43
Hd
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Henrique da SilvawinsSubmissionR2 · 4:43
def. Joachim Christensen · UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Silva
→
Actual result
Silva wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 53% vs Christensen at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Christensen has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SilvaChristensen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Silva
Christensen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
76"
Reach
76"
36+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Christensen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.6
16.4
44.7
Performance Avg
40.0
52
Quality of Victory
50
65
Momentum Score
43
Silva
Christensen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
1.6
56%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
23
10
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance10
8Clinch3
3Ground12
Silva
Christensen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Christensen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/19 fights
Chin rating based on
4/20 fights
Silva
Christensen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
43
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
Silva
Christensen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Christensen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
SilvaChristensen
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedChristensen
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the body (56% of attacks) — Christensen absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Christensen targets the head (92% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Christensen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Christensen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Gokhan SakiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Ion CutelabaRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Jordan JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
L · Sub · R2
Paul CraigRating 3.5Submission
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
W · Sub · R2
Joachim ChristensenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
Christensen · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Gadzhimurad AntigulovRating 1.5Submission
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
W · KO · R3
Bojan MihajlovicRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · Sub · R2
Henrique da SilvaRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10