UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
East Rutherford, USA
5 May 2012
Middleweight
VS
37%
Massenzio
63%
Vemola
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:07
MM
CFR 11
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vemola
Vemola holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Massenzio has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Vemola has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Vemola throws more volume but Massenzio connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Massenzio's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Massenzio
Vemola
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+75"
43
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Massenzio
Vemola
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.4
19.4
35.1
Performance Avg
46.2
40
Quality of Victory
55
13
Momentum Score
59
Massenzio
Vemola
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
43%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
8
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Massenzio
Vemola
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Massenzio
Vemola
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
72
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/22 fights
Chin rating based on
6/22 fights
Massenzio
Vemola
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Massenzio
Vemola
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Massenzio
Vemola
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
MassenzioVemola
Strike Zones
Massenzio
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedVemola
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vemola targets the head (100% of attacks) — Massenzio absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Massenzio
RND
Vemola
0/0R00/0
Massenzio · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Vemola · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Massenzio · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Karlos VemolaRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
L · Sub · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 1.5Submission
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Steve CantwellRating 4.5Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Sub · R3
Brian StannRating 4Submission
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
Vemola · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Caio MagalhaesRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
L · Sub · R2
Francis CarmontRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
W · Sub · R2
Mike MassenzioRating 5.2Submission
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
L · Dec · R3
Ronny MarkesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
W · KO · R1
Seth PetruzelliRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11