UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez
Memphis, USA
12 Dec 2009
Heavyweight
VS
48%
Struve
52%
Buentello
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
PB
CFR 22
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Buentello
This is a genuine toss-up — Struve at 48% vs Buentello at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Struve has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Struve's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Buentello has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Struve
Buentello
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'11"+
Height
6'2"
84"+
Reach
77"
38+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Struve
Buentello
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
22.2
51.7
Performance Avg
53.8
50
Quality of Victory
56
98
Momentum Score
85
Struve
Buentello
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.7
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
10
4
Body
1
17
Leg
0
RangeRange
26Distance11
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Struve
Buentello
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Struve
Buentello
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/46 fights
Chin rating based on
6/52 fights
Struve
Buentello
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
85
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Struve
Buentello
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
6
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Struve
Buentello
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
4.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
StruveBuentello
Strike Zones
Struve
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedBuentello
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Struve targets the legs (61% of attacks) — Buentello absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Buentello targets the head (91% of attacks) — Struve absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Struve
RND
Buentello
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Struve · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Buentello · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Struve · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Ben RothwellRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · Sub · R2
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
Buentello · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Cheick KongoRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Stefan StruveRating 5.5Decision
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
W · KO · R2
Gilbert AldanaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
L · KO · R1
Andrei ArlovskiRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 55: Fury · 2005-10
W · Sub · R1
Kevin JordanRating 5Submission
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06