UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
New York City, USA
2 Nov 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
27%
Anderson
73%
Walker
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:07
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Walker
Walker is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Walker has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Walker has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Anderson's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Walker has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Anderson
Walker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'6"
79"
Reach
+82"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Anderson
Walker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
50.4
50.1
Performance Avg
54.6
39
Quality of Victory
56
98
Momentum Score
41
Anderson
Walker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.0
47%
Strike Accuracy
59%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.6
3 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance1
10Clinch0
7Ground0
Anderson
Walker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.3
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Anderson
Walker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
6
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/19 fights
Chin rating based on
16/32 fights
Anderson
Walker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
41
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
Anderson
Walker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
88%
3
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Anderson
Walker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.6
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
AndersonWalker
Strike Zones
Anderson
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedWalker
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anderson targets the head (95% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Walker targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Anderson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Anderson
RND
Walker
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Anderson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Walker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Anderson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jan BlachowiczRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Patrick CumminsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
Walker · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dominick ReyesRating 6.5Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Zhang MingyangRating 7.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Magomed AnkalaevRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Upcoming
Magomed AnkalaevUFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10