UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson
Austin, USA
22 Nov 2014
Lightweight
VS
60%
Wiman
40%
Vallie-Flagg
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Wiman
Wiman holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Vallie-Flagg has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Wiman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Vallie-Flagg throws more volume but Wiman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Wiman's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Wiman
Vallie-Flagg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
68"
Reach
+70"
42+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wiman
Vallie-Flagg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
10.3
46.3
Performance Avg
25.0
40
Quality of Victory
25
54
Momentum Score
28
Wiman
Vallie-Flagg
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.4
49%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
11
2
Body
6
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance6
7Clinch12
1Ground0
Wiman
Vallie-Flagg
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wiman
Vallie-Flagg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/23 fights
Wiman
Vallie-Flagg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
28
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Wiman
Vallie-Flagg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wiman
Vallie-Flagg
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
WimanVallie-Flagg
Strike Zones
Wiman
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedVallie-Flagg
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wiman targets the head (79% of attacks) — Vallie-Flagg absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Vallie-Flagg targets the head (61% of attacks) — Wiman absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wiman
RND
Vallie-Flagg
0/0R00/0
Wiman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Vallie-Flagg · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Wiman · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jordan LeavittRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Dec · R3
Joe SoleckiRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · KO · R3
Luis PenaRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · KO · R1
TJ GrantRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
Vallie-Flagg · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Matt WimanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Takanori GomiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
L · Dec · R3
Elias SilverioRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
W · Dec · R3
Yves EdwardsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02