UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort
Dallas, USA
19 Sept 2009
Middleweight
VS
50%
Drwal
50%
McFedries
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:03
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Drwal
This is a genuine toss-up — Drwal at 50% vs McFedries at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
McFedries has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Drwal's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McFedries has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Drwal
McFedries
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
72"
44+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Drwal
McFedries
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
20.3
53.9
Performance Avg
53.8
57
Quality of Victory
60
52
Momentum Score
65
Drwal
McFedries
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
3.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
55%
7.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Drwal
McFedries
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Drwal
McFedries
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
30
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/26 fights
Chin rating based on
9/19 fights
Drwal
McFedries
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Drwal
McFedries
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Drwal
McFedries
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
DrwalMcFedries
Strike Zones
Drwal
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedMcFedries
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Drwal targets the head (100% of attacks) — McFedries absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Drwal
RND
McFedries
0/0R00/0
Drwal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
McFedries · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Drwal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
David BranchRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · 2010-09
L · Sub · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 1.5Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · Sub · R2
Drew McFedriesRating 5.2Submission
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · KO · R1
Mike CiesnoleviczRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06
W · KO · R1
Ivan SeratiRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
McFedries · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Tomasz DrwalRating 2.8Submission
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · KO · R1
Xavier Foupa-PokamRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · Sub · R1
Thales LeitesRating 1.5Submission
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
W · KO · R1
Marvin EastmanRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06