UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik
Las Vegas, USA
8 Aug 2020
Heavyweight
VS
69%
Lewis
31%
Oleinik
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:21
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lewis
Lewis holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Oleinik has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Oleinik throws more volume but Lewis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lewis's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oleinik has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lewis
Oleinik
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
79"
Reach
+80"
41+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lewis
Oleinik
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.2
26.5
57.5
Performance Avg
52.0
53
Quality of Victory
51
84
Momentum Score
39
Lewis
Oleinik
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.6
56%
Strike Accuracy
49%
9.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
16 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
20Ground0
Lewis
Oleinik
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.5
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lewis
Oleinik
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
4
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/42 fights
Chin rating based on
17/77 fights
Lewis
Oleinik
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
39
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Lewis
Oleinik
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
89%
16
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
7
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lewis
Oleinik
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.5
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.8
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.9
LewisOleinik
Strike Zones
Lewis
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedOleinik
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lewis targets the head (95% of attacks) — Oleinik absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lewis
RND
Oleinik
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lewis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Oleinik · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Lewis · Last 5
Upcoming
Josh HokitUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R5
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
Oleinik · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jared VanderaaRating 5Submission
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
