METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 112: Invincible
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
10 Apr 2010
Lightweight
VS
50%
Kelly
50%
Veach
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:41
★ Official Result
Paul KellywinsSubmissionR2 · 3:41
def. Matt Veach · UFC 112: Invincible
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kelly
→
Actual result
Kelly wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Kelly at 50% vs Veach at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Veach has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Kelly has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Kelly's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KellyVeach
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kelly
Veach
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
41+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kelly
Veach
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.1
19.2
43.8
Performance Avg
49.3
36
Quality of Victory
60
99
Momentum Score
43
Kelly
Veach
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
0.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
30%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
1Clinch0
19Ground0
Kelly
Veach
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kelly
Veach
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/22 fights
Kelly
Veach
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Kelly
Veach
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kelly
Veach
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
KellyVeach
Strike Zones
Kelly
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedVeach
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kelly targets the head (96% of attacks) — Veach absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Veach targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kelly absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kelly
RND
Veach
0/0R00/0
Kelly · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Veach · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Kelly · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Donald CerroneRating 2.8Submission
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · KO · R2
TJ O'BrienRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
L · Dec · R3
Jacob VolkmannRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Matt VeachRating 5.2Submission
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
L · KO · R2
Dennis SiverRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
Veach · Last 3
L · Sub · R2
Paul KellyRating 2.8Submission
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
L · Sub · R2
Frankie EdgarRating 2.8Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12
W · KO · R1
Matt GriceRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02