METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 112: Invincible
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
10 Apr 2010
Lightweight
VS
50%
Kelly
50%
Veach
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:41
★ Official Result
Paul KellywinsSubmissionR2 · 3:41
def. Matt Veach · UFC 112: Invincible
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kelly
→
Actual result
Kelly wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Kelly at 50% vs Veach at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Veach has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Risk flags
Kelly's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KellyVeach
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kelly
Veach
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
41+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kelly
Veach
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.1
19.2
43.8
Performance Avg
49.3
36
Quality of Victory
60
99
Momentum Score
43
Kelly
Veach
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
8.0
5.9
Style: Volume
0.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
1Clinch0
19Ground0
Kelly
Veach
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kelly
Veach
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/22 fights
Kelly
Veach
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Kelly
Veach
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kelly
Veach
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
KellyVeach
Strike Zones
Kelly
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedVeach
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kelly targets the head (96% of attacks) — Veach absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Veach targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kelly absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kelly
RND
Veach
0/0R00/0
Kelly · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Donald CerroneSubmission
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · KO · R2
TJ O'BrienKO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
L · Dec · R3
Jacob VolkmannDecision
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Matt VeachSubmission
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
L · KO · R2
Dennis SiverKO/TKO
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
Veach · Last 3
L · Sub · R2
Paul KellySubmission
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
L · Sub · R2
Frankie EdgarSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12
W · KO · R1
Matt GriceKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02