UFC 112: Invincible
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
10 Apr 2010
Lightweight
VS
50%
Kelly
50%
Veach
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:41
PK
Paul Kelly
14 – 5
5'9"70" reachOrthodox41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 19
MV
Matt Veach
17 – 5
Knockout Artist2-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox5'11"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kelly

This is a genuine toss-up — Kelly at 50% vs Veach at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Veach has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.

Kelly has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Kelly's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Kelly
Veach
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
41+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kelly
Veach
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.1
19.2
43.8
Performance Avg
49.3
36
Quality of Victory
60
99
Momentum Score
43
Kelly
Veach
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
30%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
1Clinch0
19Ground0
Kelly
Veach
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kelly
Veach
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/22 fights
Kelly
Veach
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Kelly
Veach
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kelly
Veach
Striking3.1 / 10.0Volume5.9 / 0.7Grappling3.0 / 0.0Wrestling2.1 / 0.0Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Kelly
Strike Zones
Veach
Kelly
Attacking
22HEAD1BODY0LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Veach
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD1BODY0LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kelly targets the head (96% of attacks) — Veach absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Veach targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kelly absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kelly
RND
Veach
0/0R00/0

Kelly · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W2.8L5.2W5.5L5.2W2.8L2008-012009-062010-082011-02
WinLossTrend

Veach · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0105.0W2.8L2.8L2009-022009-122010-04
WinLossTrend

Kelly · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Donald CerroneRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · KO · R2
TJ O'BrienRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
L · Dec · R3
Jacob VolkmannRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Matt VeachRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
L · KO · R2
Dennis SiverRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11

Veach · Last 3

L · Sub · R2
Paul KellyRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
L · Sub · R2
Frankie EdgarRating 2.8
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12
W · KO · R1
Matt GriceRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02

News & Media

Paul Kelly · Matt Veach
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