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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira
Las Vegas, USA
19 Oct 2024
Middleweight
VS
55%
Hernandez
45%
Pereira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 5 · 2:22
Anthony
Anthony Hernandez
"Fluffy"
153
6'0"75" reachOrthodox32 yrs2-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 56
Michel
Michel Pereira
"Demolidor"
3214
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 46
★ Official Result
Anthony HernandezwinsKO/TKOR5 · 2:22
def. Michel Pereira · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hernandez
Actual result
Hernandez wins
KO/TKO · R5
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Hernandez at 55% vs Pereira at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Hernandez's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pereira has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HernandezPereira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Hernandez
Pereira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
75"+
Reach
73"
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hernandez
Pereira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.8
46.0
53.9
Performance Avg
48.9
44
Quality of Victory
40
65
Momentum Score
39
Hernandez
Pereira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
5.4
3.2
Style: Volume
5.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
0
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
1Clinch0
17Ground0
Hernandez
Pereira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
3.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
5.6
Submission Style (/10)
3.0
5
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hernandez
Pereira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
48
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
13/18 fights
Chin rating based on
16/46 fights
Hernandez
Pereira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R5
Hernandez
Pereira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hernandez
Pereira
Striking3.6 / 3.3Volume3.2 / 5.3Grappling5.0 / 3.6Wrestling3.5 / 2.5Submission5.6 / 3.0Pressure7.5 / 5.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
5.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Hernandez
Strike Zones
Pereira
Hernandez
Attacking
21HEAD1BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Pereira
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD1BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hernandez targets the head (95% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Pereira targets the body (100% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hernandez
RND
Pereira
0/0R00/0

Hernandez · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Gregory Rodrigues
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
L · KO · R3
Sean Strickland
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R4
Roman Dolidze
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Brendan Allen
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · KO · R5
Michel Pereira
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

Pereira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Shara Magomedov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Zach Reese
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Kyle Daukaus
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Abus Magomedov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R5
Anthony Hernandez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

News & Media

Anthony Hernandez · Michel Pereira
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