UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira
Las Vegas, USA
19 Oct 2024
Middleweight
VS
57%
Hernandez
43%
Pereira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 5 · 2:22
AH
Anthony Hernandez
"Fluffy"
15 – 3
6'0"75" reachOrthodox32 yrsPressure Fighter
CFR 64
Michel
Michel Pereira
"Demolidor"
32 – 14
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hernandez

This is a genuine toss-up — Hernandez at 57% vs Pereira at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Pereira throws more volume but Hernandez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Hernandez's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pereira has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Hernandez
Pereira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
75"+
Reach
73"
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hernandez
Pereira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.7
47.1
56.2
Performance Avg
50.5
44
Quality of Victory
40
98
Momentum Score
39
Hernandez
Pereira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.6
66%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
0
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
1Clinch0
17Ground0
Hernandez
Pereira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hernandez
Pereira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/18 fights
Chin rating based on
16/46 fights
Hernandez
Pereira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
39
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R5
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R5
Hernandez
Pereira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hernandez
Pereira
Striking3.7 / 3.3Volume3.3 / 5.3Grappling5.0 / 3.6Wrestling3.5 / 2.5Submission5.6 / 3.0Pressure7.7 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
5.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Hernandez
Strike Zones
Pereira
Hernandez
Attacking
21HEAD1BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Pereira
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD1BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hernandez targets the head (95% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Pereira targets the body (100% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hernandez
RND
Pereira
0/0R00/0

Hernandez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0102.8L6.3W2.1L6.5W4.5W5.5W6.9W6.2W6.1W5.8W6.8W3.9L2019-022021-022023-052025-022026-02
WinLossTrend

Pereira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.0W5.5L5.5L5.5W5.9W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.5W6.0W5.0W5.4L6.3L2.1L5.5W2019-052020-122023-102025-042026-02
WinLossTrend

Hernandez · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Sean StricklandRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R4
Roman DolidzeRating 6.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · KO · R5
Michel PereiraRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R2
Roman KopylovRating 6.2
Submission
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Pereira · Last 5

Upcoming
Shara Magomedov
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Zach ReeseRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Kyle DaukausRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R5
Anthony HernandezRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

News & Media

Anthony Hernandez · Michel Pereira
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