METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira
Las Vegas, USA
19 Oct 2024
Middleweight
VS
57%
Hernandez
43%
Pereira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 5 · 2:22
★ Official Result
Anthony HernandezwinsKO/TKOR5 · 2:22
def. Michel Pereira · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hernandez
→
Actual result
Hernandez wins
KO/TKO · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Hernandez at 57% vs Pereira at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Pereira throws more volume but Hernandez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hernandez's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pereira has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HernandezPereira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hernandez
Pereira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
75"+
Reach
73"
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hernandez
Pereira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.7
47.1
56.2
Performance Avg
50.5
44
Quality of Victory
40
98
Momentum Score
39
Hernandez
Pereira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.6
66%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
0
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
1Clinch0
17Ground0
Hernandez
Pereira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hernandez
Pereira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/18 fights
Chin rating based on
16/46 fights
Hernandez
Pereira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
39
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R5
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R5
Hernandez
Pereira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hernandez
Pereira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
5.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
HernandezPereira
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedPereira
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hernandez targets the head (95% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Pereira targets the body (100% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hernandez
RND
Pereira
0/0R00/0
Hernandez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Pereira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Hernandez · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Sean StricklandRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R4
Roman DolidzeRating 6.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · KO · R5
Michel PereiraRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R2
Roman KopylovRating 6.2Submission
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
Pereira · Last 5
Upcoming
Shara MagomedovUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Zach ReeseRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Kyle DaukausRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R5
Anthony HernandezRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10