UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira
Las Vegas, USA
19 Oct 2024
Bantamweight
VS
59%
Hadley
41%
Smotherman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jake
Jake Hadley
"White Kong"
11 – 4
5'7"70" reachSouthpaw29 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Cameron
Cameron Smotherman
"The Baby-Faced Killa"
12 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide28 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'9"
CFR 34

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hadley

This is a genuine toss-up — Hadley at 59% vs Smotherman at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hadley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Hadley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Hadley
Smotherman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
70"+
Reach
69"
29
Age
+28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hadley
Smotherman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.7
33.8
44.0
Performance Avg
28.3
45
Quality of Victory
25
67
Momentum Score
40
Hadley
Smotherman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
34%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
17
3
Body
15
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
18Distance34
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hadley
Smotherman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hadley
Smotherman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/18 fights
Hadley
Smotherman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
67
40
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Hadley
Smotherman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hadley
Smotherman
Striking4.2 / 0.7Volume3.5 / 8.7Grappling3.5 / 2.4Wrestling2.4 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure6.0 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Hadley
Strike Zones
Smotherman
Hadley
Attacking
14HEAD3BODY1LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD15BODY2LEGS34 absorbed
Smotherman
Attacking
17HEAD15BODY2LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD3BODY1LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hadley targets the head (78% of attacks) — Smotherman absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Smotherman targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hadley absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hadley
RND
Smotherman
0/0R00/0

Hadley · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0107.0L5.2W5.0W5.6L6.4L4.6W5.5L2022-052023-032024-052024-10
WinLossTrend

Smotherman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.2W6.1L6.2L2024-102025-052025-06
WinLossTrend

Hadley · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cameron SmothermanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Caolan LoughranRating 4.6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Cody DurdenRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · KO · R1
Malcolm GordonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

Smotherman · Last 4

Upcoming
Kai Asakura
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Serhiy SideyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Jake HadleyRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

News & Media

Jake Hadley · Cameron Smotherman
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