METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira
Las Vegas, USA
19 Oct 2024
Bantamweight
VS
59%
Hadley
41%
Smotherman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CFR 34
★ Official Result
Cameron SmothermanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jake Hadley · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hadley
→
Actual result
Smotherman wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Hadley at 59% vs Smotherman at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hadley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Hadley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HadleySmotherman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hadley
Smotherman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
70"+
Reach
69"
29
Age
+28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hadley
Smotherman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.7
33.8
44.0
Performance Avg
28.3
45
Quality of Victory
25
67
Momentum Score
40
Hadley
Smotherman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
34%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
17
3
Body
15
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
18Distance34
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hadley
Smotherman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hadley
Smotherman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/18 fights
Hadley
Smotherman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
67
40
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Hadley
Smotherman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hadley
Smotherman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
HadleySmotherman
Strike Zones
Hadley
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedSmotherman
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hadley targets the head (78% of attacks) — Smotherman absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Smotherman targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hadley absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hadley
RND
Smotherman
0/0R00/0
Hadley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Smotherman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Hadley · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cameron SmothermanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Caolan LoughranRating 4.6Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Cody DurdenRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · KO · R1
Malcolm GordonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
Smotherman · Last 4
Upcoming
Kai AsakuraUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Serhiy SideyRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Jake HadleyRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10