UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum
Las Vegas, USA
17 Apr 2021
Lightweight
VS
43%
Pena
57%
Munoz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
LP
Luis Pena
"Violent Bob Ross"
9 – 3
6'3"75" reachSouthpaw32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
AM
Alexander Munoz
7 – 2
Well-Rounded36 yrsSwitch72" reach5'9"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Munoz

This is a genuine toss-up — Pena at 43% vs Munoz at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Pena has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Striking split: Munoz throws more volume but Pena connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Pena
Munoz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
72"
32+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Pena
Munoz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
24.3
46.5
Performance Avg
28.3
36
Quality of Victory
25
68
Momentum Score
33
Pena
Munoz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.5
44%
Strike Accuracy
38%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
15
7
Body
11
2
Leg
7
RangeRange
47Distance33
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Pena
Munoz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pena
Munoz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/12 fights
Chin rating based on
3/9 fights
Pena
Munoz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
33
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pena
Munoz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pena
Munoz
Striking3.3 / 0.7Volume6.0 / 8.7Grappling3.0 / 2.4Wrestling2.1 / 1.7Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Pena
Strike Zones
Munoz
Pena
Attacking
38HEAD7BODY2LEGS47 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD11BODY7LEGS33 absorbed
Munoz
Attacking
15HEAD11BODY7LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
38HEAD7BODY2LEGS47 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pena targets the head (81% of attacks) — Munoz absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Munoz targets the head (45% of attacks) — Pena absorbs 45% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pena
RND
Munoz
0/0R00/0

Pena · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.0W5.5L4.5W5.5W5.7L6.4W4.0L4.5W2018-072019-032019-102020-062021-04
WinLossTrend

Munoz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.2L5.5L4.5W2020-082021-042023-07
WinLossTrend

Pena · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Alexander MunozRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
L · Sub · R3
Khama WorthyRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Steve GarciaRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Matt FrevolaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
W · KO · R3
Matt WimanRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06

Munoz · Last 3

W · Dec · R3
Carl DeatonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Luis PenaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08

News & Media

Luis Pena · Alexander Munoz
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