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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 88: Breakthrough
Atlanta, USA
6 Sept 2008
Middleweight
VS
39%
Henderson
61%
Palhares
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DH
Dan Henderson
"Hendo"
32 – 15
5'11"74" reachOrthodox55 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
RP
Rousimar Palhares
"Toquinho"
19 – 8
Submission Hunter46 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'8"
CFR 22
★ Official Result
Dan HendersonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Rousimar Palhares · UFC 88: Breakthrough

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Palhares
→
Actual result
Henderson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Palhares holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Henderson has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Palhares has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Henderson's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Palhares has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HendersonPalhares
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Henderson
Palhares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
71"
55
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Henderson
Palhares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
21.7
49.5
Performance Avg
54.0
49
Quality of Victory
46
20
Momentum Score
100
Henderson
Palhares
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
0.8
46%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
11
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
15Distance11
1Clinch2
3Ground0
Henderson
Palhares
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.6
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Henderson
Palhares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
32
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/47 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Henderson
Palhares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
100
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Henderson
Palhares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
75%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
6
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Henderson
Palhares
Striking5.4 / 1.3Volume5.4 / 3.3Grappling1.3 / 6.6Wrestling0.9 / 4.6Submission0.0 / 7.5Pressure4.6 / 7.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.6
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.5
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Henderson
Strike Zones
Palhares
Henderson
Attacking
19HEAD0BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Palhares
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD0BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Henderson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Palhares absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Palhares targets the head (85% of attacks) — Henderson absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Henderson
RND
Palhares
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Henderson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.2W4.2W5.5L2.1L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L1.5L5.2W4.0L1.5L5.0W1.5L5.2W5.5L1998-052009-012013-112015-112016-10
WinLossTrend

Palhares · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W4.5W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.0W2008-052009-122011-032012-052013-10
WinLossTrend

Henderson · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Michael BispingRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R2
Hector LombardRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
L · KO · R1
Vitor BelfortRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Tim BoetschRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · KO · R1
Gegard MousasiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

Palhares · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Mike PierceRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
L · KO · R1
Hector LombardRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioRating 5
Submission
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Dan MillerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08

News & Media

Dan Henderson · Rousimar Palhares
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