UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba
Las Vegas, USA
19 Nov 2022
Bantamweight
VS
92%
Hiestand
8%
Garcia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Brady
Brady Hiestand
"Bam Bam"
92
5'8"71" reachOrthodox27 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 57
Fernie
Fernie Garcia
105
Well-Rounded4-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 5

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hiestand

Hiestand is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 52 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hiestand has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Hiestand has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Hiestand
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
67"
27+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hiestand
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.3
5.2
54.0
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
87
Momentum Score
0
Hiestand
Garcia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
28%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hiestand
Garcia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hiestand
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
4/11 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Hiestand
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
0
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hiestand
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hiestand
Garcia
Striking4.8 / 0.0Volume4.2 / 0.0Grappling3.5 / 0.0Wrestling2.4 / 0.0Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure6.9 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Hiestand
Strike Zones
Garcia
Hiestand
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Garcia
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Garcia targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Hiestand absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hiestand
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0

Hiestand · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L4.5W6.1W5.6W2021-082022-112023-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Garcia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.5L6.6L7.2L3.9L2022-052022-112023-082024-02
WinLossTrend

Hiestand · Last 4

W · Sub · R3
Garrett ArmfieldRating 5.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · KO · R3
Batgerel DanaaRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Fernie GarciaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Ricky TurciosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08

Garcia · Last 4

L · KO · R2
Hyder AmilRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Rinya NakamuraRating 7.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Brady HiestandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Journey NewsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05

News & Media

Brady Hiestand · Fernie Garcia
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