UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba
Las Vegas, USA
19 Nov 2022
Bantamweight
VS
92%
Hiestand
8%
Garcia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hiestand
Hiestand is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 52 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hiestand has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Hiestand has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Hiestand
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
67"
27+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hiestand
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.3
5.2
54.0
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
87
Momentum Score
0
Hiestand
Garcia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
28%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hiestand
Garcia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hiestand
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/11 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Hiestand
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
0
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hiestand
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hiestand
Garcia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HiestandGarcia
Strike Zones
Hiestand
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedGarcia
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Garcia targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Hiestand absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hiestand
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
Hiestand · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Garcia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Hiestand · Last 4
W · Sub · R3
Garrett ArmfieldRating 5.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · KO · R3
Batgerel DanaaRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Fernie GarciaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Ricky TurciosRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
Garcia · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Hyder AmilRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Rinya NakamuraRating 7.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Brady HiestandRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Journey NewsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05

