UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno
Mexico City, Mexico
5 Aug 2017
Flyweight
VS
81%
Morales
19%
Sanchez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:56
Joseph
Joseph Morales
"Bopo"
15 – 2
5'6"69" reachSwitch31 yrs2-fight win streakSubmission Hunter
CFR 76
RS
Robert Sanchez
"Littlefury"
8 – 2
Submission Hunter40 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'6"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Morales

Morales is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 58 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Morales has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Morales has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Morales
Sanchez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
66"
31+
Age
40
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Morales
Sanchez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
75.6
18.0
65.6
Performance Avg
45.7
69
Quality of Victory
54
98
Momentum Score
35
Morales
Sanchez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
36%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
1Clinch0
10Ground1
Morales
Sanchez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Morales
Sanchez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/17 fights
Chin rating based on
3/10 fights
Morales
Sanchez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
35
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Morales
Sanchez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Morales
Sanchez
Striking1.2 / 0.7Volume1.2 / 0.7Grappling8.0 / 8.0Wrestling5.6 / 5.6Submission10.0 / 10.0Pressure8.8 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Morales
Strike Zones
Sanchez
Morales
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Sanchez
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Morales targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Sanchez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Morales
RND
Sanchez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Morales · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W3.8L5.5L5.2W5.2W2017-082018-022018-112025-082025-11
WinLossTrend

Sanchez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0103.5L5.0W5.5L2017-082018-022018-09
WinLossTrend

Morales · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Matt SchnellRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Sub · R2
Alibi IdirisRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Eric SheltonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
W · Sub · R1
Robert SanchezRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08

Sanchez · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Jarred BrooksRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
W · Sub · R1
Joby SanchezRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · Sub · R1
Joseph MoralesRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08

News & Media

Joseph Morales · Robert Sanchez
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