UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
Las Vegas, USA
4 Dec 2021
Lightweight
VS
28%
Riddell
72%
Fiziev
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:20
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fiziev
Fiziev is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fiziev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Riddell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Riddell's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Fiziev has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Riddell
Fiziev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
71"
Reach
71"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Riddell
Fiziev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
54.2
37.9
Performance Avg
45.6
25
Quality of Victory
37
50
Momentum Score
100
Riddell
Fiziev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.6
57%
Strike Accuracy
56%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
12
5
Body
2
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
16Distance17
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Riddell
Fiziev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Riddell
Fiziev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
13/18 fights
Riddell
Fiziev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Riddell
Fiziev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
43%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Riddell
Fiziev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
9.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
RiddellFiziev
Strike Zones
Riddell
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedFiziev
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Riddell targets the head (38% of attacks) — Fiziev absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Fiziev targets the head (71% of attacks) — Riddell absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Riddell
RND
Fiziev
0/0R00/0
Riddell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Fiziev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Riddell · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoRating 2.3Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · Sub · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R3
Rafael FizievRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Drew DoberRating 5.7Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Alex Da SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
Fiziev · Last 5
Upcoming
Manuel TorresUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Mauricio RuffyRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09