METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
Las Vegas, USA
4 Dec 2021
Lightweight
VS
27%
Riddell
73%
Fiziev
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:20
★ Official Result
Rafael FizievwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:20
def. Brad Riddell · UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fiziev
→
Actual result
Fiziev wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Fiziev is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fiziev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Riddell's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Fiziev has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RiddellFiziev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Riddell
Fiziev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
71"
Reach
71"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Riddell
Fiziev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
56.9
37.9
Performance Avg
49.0
25
Quality of Victory
41
50
Momentum Score
100
Riddell
Fiziev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
6.2
/ 10
1.7
Style: Pressure
5.3
9.1
Style: Volume
5.2
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
12
5
Body
2
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
16Distance17
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Riddell
Fiziev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Riddell
Fiziev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
13/18 fights
Riddell
Fiziev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Riddell
Fiziev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Riddell
Fiziev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
9.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
RiddellFiziev
Strike Zones
Riddell
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedFiziev
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Riddell targets the head (38% of attacks) — Fiziev absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Fiziev targets the head (71% of attacks) — Riddell absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Riddell
RND
Fiziev
0/0R00/0
Riddell · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoSubmission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · Sub · R1
Jalin TurnerSubmission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R3
Rafael FizievKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Drew DoberDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Alex Da SilvaDecision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
Fiziev · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Manuel TorresKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Mauricio RuffyKO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Justin GaethjeDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Mateusz GamrotKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09