UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
Milwaukee, USA
14 Aug 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
43%
Markes
57%
Vemola
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vemola
This is a genuine toss-up — Markes at 43% vs Vemola at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Vemola has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
Markes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Markes's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Markes
Vemola
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
75"
38+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Markes
Vemola
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
19.4
39.0
Performance Avg
46.2
25
Quality of Victory
55
70
Momentum Score
59
Markes
Vemola
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.6
61%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
8
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
7Clinch0
7Ground0
Markes
Vemola
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Markes
Vemola
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/22 fights
Chin rating based on
6/22 fights
Markes
Vemola
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Markes
Vemola
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Markes
Vemola
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
1.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
9.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
MarkesVemola
Strike Zones
Markes
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedVemola
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Markes targets the body (53% of attacks) — Vemola absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Vemola targets the head (100% of attacks) — Markes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Markes
RND
Vemola
0/0R00/0
Markes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Vemola · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Markes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03
L · KO · R3
Yoel RomeroRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
W · Dec · R3
Andrew CraigRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01
W · Dec · R3
Aaron SimpsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Karlos VemolaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
Vemola · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Caio MagalhaesRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
L · Sub · R2
Francis CarmontRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
W · Sub · R2
Mike MassenzioRating 5.2Submission
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
L · Dec · R3
Ronny MarkesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
W · KO · R1
Seth PetruzelliRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11