Brandon Royval vs Lone'er Kavanagh — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Las Vegas, USA

11 Jul 2026

Flyweight

56%

Royval

44%

Kavanagh

Win Probability

Submission

Round 3 · 3:40

Brandon Royval

"Raw Dawg"

17 – 9

5'9"68" reachSouthpaw34 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 53

Lone'er Kavanagh

10 – 1

Well-Rounded27 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'6"

CFR 41

★ Official Result

Brandon RoyvalwinsSubmissionR3 · 3:40

def. Lone'er Kavanagh · UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Royval

Brandon Royval wins by submission in the second half of the fight after weatheri…

→

Actual result

Royval wins

Submission · R3

Pre-fight analysis

The rising contender's speed carried him early, but Royval's trademark late-fight chaos found a finish anyway.

This lived up to its billing as a back-and-forth thriller, and true to form, Brandon Royval found a way to get his hand raised through chaos rather than control. Lone'er Kavanagh, 27 and fresh off a career-best win over Brandon Moreno, brought exactly the kind of speed and counter-striking that had many picking him to move past the 33-year-old Royval, who arrived on a two-fight skid against elite …

Royval intel

Royval (18-9) snapped a two-fight skid against elite competition, finding his signature late-fight finishing instincts to close out a fight he was trailing in early.

Kavanagh intel

Kavanagh (10-2) suffers his first loss since the Charles Johnson defeat, but the competitive nature of the fight against a durable veteran shouldn't slow his rise significantly.

Key angles

Royval's track record of coming alive in the second half of fights

Kavanagh's early speed and kickboxing advantage

Royval snapping a two-fight losing streak against elite competition

Title contention stakes for the winner in a stacked flyweight division

Whether age (33) starts to catch up with Royval's chaotic style

Risk flags

Kavanagh controlled large stretches of the fight before the finish — a slightly different pace management approach could have seen him through

Royval's style relies on absorbing damage to find his finishes, which is a shrinking margin as he ages

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

RoyvalKavanagh

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Royval

Kavanagh

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'9"+

Height

5'6"

68"+

Reach

67"

Age

+27

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Royval

Kavanagh

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

52.7

41.2

50.5

Performance Avg

39.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Royval

Kavanagh

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.5

/ 10

1.2

/ 10

6.2

Style: Pressure

1.8

4.2

Style: Volume

9.2

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

10Distance3

4Clinch0

7Ground0

Royval

Kavanagh

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.9

/ 10

2.4

/ 10

3.4

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.7

5.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Royval

Kavanagh

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

3 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

13/26 fights

Chin rating based on

6/11 fights

Royval

Kavanagh

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

W · Sub · R3

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R5

Last 5

Upcoming

L · Sub · R3

W · Dec · R5

L · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

Royval

Kavanagh

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

63%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Royval

Kavanagh

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

2.5

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

1.2

4.9

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.4

3.4

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.7

5.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

6.2

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

1.8

4.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

9.2

Royval

Strike Zones

Kavanagh

Royval

Attacking

21 landed

Absorbing

3 absorbed

Kavanagh

Attacking

3 landed

Absorbing

21 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Royval targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kavanagh absorbs 100% of strikes there

🎯Kavanagh targets the head (67% of attacks) — Royval absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Royval

RND

Kavanagh

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Royval · Last 5

W · Sub · R3

Lone'er Kavanagh

Submission

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

L · KO · R1

Manel Kape

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

L · Dec · R3

Joshua Van

Decision

UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06

W · Dec · R5

Tatsuro Taira

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10

W · Dec · R5

Brandon Moreno

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

Kavanagh · Last 5

Upcoming

Ramazan Temirov

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10

L · Sub · R3

Brandon Royval

Submission

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

W · Dec · R5

Brandon Moreno

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02

L · KO · R2

Charles Johnson

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08

W · Dec · R3

Felipe dos Santos

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03

News & Media

Brandon Royval · Lone'er Kavanagh

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