★ Championship Bout · Featherweight
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Newark, USA
1 Feb 2014
Featherweight
VS
68%
Aldo
32%
Lamas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Aldo
Aldo holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Lamas has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lamas has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Aldo's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lamas has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Aldo
Lamas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"
Reach
+71"
39+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Aldo
Lamas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.5
20.7
53.6
Performance Avg
52.0
49
Quality of Victory
44
40
Momentum Score
98
Aldo
Lamas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.7
48%
Strike Accuracy
54%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
8
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground8
Aldo
Lamas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Aldo
Lamas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
28
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
17/28 fights
Aldo
Lamas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
98
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Aldo
Lamas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
64%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
10
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aldo
Lamas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
AldoLamas
Strike Zones
Aldo
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedLamas
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lamas targets the head (89% of attacks) — Aldo absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aldo
RND
Lamas
0/0R00/0
Aldo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Lamas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Aldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaRating 6.6Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 5Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
Lamas · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Calvin KattarRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
W · KO · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Mirsad BekticRating 5.5Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
