METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
Detroit, USA
2 Dec 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
24%
Kimball
76%
Reyes
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:39
★ Official Result
Dominick ReyeswinsSubmissionR1 · 3:39
def. Jeremy Kimball · UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Reyes
→
Actual result
Reyes wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Reyes is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kimball has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Kimball's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reyes has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KimballReyes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kimball
Reyes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
72"
Reach
+77"
35+
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Kimball
Reyes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
55.7
46.0
Performance Avg
56.3
60
Quality of Victory
49
43
Momentum Score
71
Kimball
Reyes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
7.3
/ 10
7.8
Style: Pressure
6.9
0.5
Style: Volume
3.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
13
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance3
1Clinch0
1Ground13
Kimball
Reyes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kimball
Reyes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
10
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/23 fights
Chin rating based on
16/21 fights
Kimball
Reyes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
71
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Kimball
Reyes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
70%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kimball
Reyes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
KimballReyes
Strike Zones
Kimball
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedReyes
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kimball targets the head (100% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Reyes targets the head (81% of attacks) — Kimball absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kimball
RND
Reyes
0/0R00/0
Kimball · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Darko StosicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Sub · R1
Dominick ReyesSubmission
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12
W · KO · R1
Josh StansburyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · KO · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
Reyes · Last 5
Upcoming
Azamat MurzakanovUFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R3
Johnny WalkerDecision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R2
Anthony SmithKO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12