UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett
Hamburg, Germany
3 Sept 2016
Heavyweight
VS
66%
Arlovski
34%
Barnett
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:53
Andrei
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
34 – 24
6'3"77" reachOrthodox47 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
JB
Josh Barnett
"The Warmaster"
35 – 8
Knockout Artist48 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 25

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Arlovski

Arlovski holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Barnett has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Barnett has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Barnett has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Barnett has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Arlovski
Barnett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
+78"
47+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Barnett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
25.3
50.5
Performance Avg
66.2
47
Quality of Victory
64
94
Momentum Score
100
Arlovski
Barnett
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
61%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.1
9 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
14
4
Body
3
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance5
6Clinch6
0Ground6
Arlovski
Barnett
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
Barnett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
44
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
10/43 fights
Arlovski
Barnett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Arlovski
Barnett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
86%
9
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
2
12
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arlovski
Barnett
Striking5.0 / 7.1Volume5.3 / 2.5Grappling1.9 / 2.6Wrestling1.4 / 1.8Submission0.9 / 2.9Pressure5.0 / 8.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
Arlovski
Strike Zones
Barnett
Arlovski
Attacking
9HEAD4BODY2LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD3BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Barnett
Attacking
14HEAD3BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD4BODY2LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (60% of attacks) — Barnett absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Barnett targets the head (82% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arlovski
RND
Barnett
0/0R00/0

Arlovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.6L2.1L2.8L1.9L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.9L5.5L5.7L4.5W2.6L5.2W5.1W5.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.1L3.1L7.0L6.5L2000-112006-122017-062021-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Barnett · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.2W2.8L5.0W5.2W5.1W5.0W1.5L4.5W2.8L6.0W2000-112001-112013-122016-09
WinLossTrend

Arlovski · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

Barnett · Last 5

W · Sub · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · Sub · R2
Ben RothwellRating 2.8
Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R5
Roy NelsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · KO · R1
Travis BrowneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
W · KO · R1
Frank MirRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08

News & Media

Andrei Arlovski · Josh Barnett
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