UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
8 Mar 2025
Lightweight
VS
50%
Turner
50%
Bahamondes
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:29
Jalin
Jalin Turner
"The Tarantula"
15 – 9
6'3"77" reachSouthpaw31 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 60
Ignacio
Ignacio Bahamondes
"La Jaula"
17 – 7
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide28 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'3"
CFR 60

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Turner

This is a genuine toss-up — Turner at 50% vs Bahamondes at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Turner has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Turner's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Turner
Bahamondes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"+
Reach
75"
31
Age
+28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Turner
Bahamondes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.7
60.3
56.4
Performance Avg
53.4
56
Quality of Victory
49
65
Momentum Score
64
Turner
Bahamondes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
2.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
46%
7.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
7
2
Body
0
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
5Distance6
0Clinch0
2Ground4
Turner
Bahamondes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.1
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Turner
Bahamondes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Turner
Bahamondes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
64
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Turner
Bahamondes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
83%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Turner
Bahamondes
Striking7.4 / 6.2Volume1.1 / 2.5Grappling3.0 / 3.1Wrestling2.1 / 2.1Submission3.8 / 3.3Pressure8.7 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.1
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
8.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
1.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
Turner
Strike Zones
Bahamondes
Turner
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY3LEGS10 absorbed
Bahamondes
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY3LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Turner targets the head (57% of attacks) — Bahamondes absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Bahamondes targets the head (70% of attacks) — Turner absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Turner
RND
Bahamondes
0/0R00/0

Turner · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0103.0L5.0W5.7L5.6W5.2W6.8W5.4W5.0W6.6L6.4L5.7W3.5L2.8L5.5W2018-102020-092023-032025-032025-12
WinLossTrend

Bahamondes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9
0105.5L5.7W6.0W4.6W6.7L5.2W7.1W6.2W6.5L5.7L2021-042023-042024-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Turner · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Sub · R1
Ignacio BahamondesRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Renato MoicanoRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
King GreenRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07

Bahamondes · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tofiq MusayevRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Rafael FizievRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Sub · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 6.2
Submission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 7.1
KO/TKO
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · KO · R1
Christos GiagosRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04

News & Media

Jalin Turner · Ignacio Bahamondes
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