UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Sydney, Australia
9 Sept 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
61%
Ulberg
39%
Jung
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:49
Carlos
Carlos Ulberg
"Black Jag"
15 – 1
6'4"77" reachOrthodox35 yrs10-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 74
Da
Da Woon Jung
"Sseda"
15 – 6
Well-Rounded4-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'4"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ulberg

Ulberg holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Jung has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ulberg has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Jung has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Ulberg
Jung
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
77"
Reach
+78"
35
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ulberg
Jung
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
73.9
46.4
68.2
Performance Avg
48.5
53
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
50
Ulberg
Jung
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.5
1.0
58%
Strike Accuracy
36%
7.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
10
10
Body
5
6
Leg
3
RangeRange
18Distance15
7Clinch3
13Ground0
Ulberg
Jung
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ulberg
Jung
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
62
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Ulberg
Jung
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
50
10-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Ulberg
Jung
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
75%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ulberg
Jung
Striking7.8 / 6.0Volume4.2 / 3.0Grappling1.5 / 2.6Wrestling1.1 / 1.8Submission1.0 / 2.5Pressure7.6 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
Ulberg
Strike Zones
Jung
Ulberg
Attacking
22HEAD10BODY6LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD5BODY3LEGS18 absorbed
Jung
Attacking
10HEAD5BODY3LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD10BODY6LEGS38 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ulberg targets the head (58% of attacks) — Jung absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Jung targets the head (56% of attacks) — Ulberg absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ulberg
RND
Jung
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ulberg · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.0L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W6.1W5.9W5.3W5.1W6.0W6.7W2021-032022-112024-052025-092026-04
WinLossTrend

Jung · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5W5.0W4.5W6.3W2.9L5.5L5.9L6.5L2019-082021-042022-072023-092024-09
WinLossTrend

Ulberg · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Volkan OezdemirRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

Jung · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Oumar SyRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Sub · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 5.9
Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Devin ClarkRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · KO · R1
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11

News & Media

Carlos Ulberg · Da Woon Jung
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