UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno
Mexico City, Mexico
5 Aug 2017
Middleweight
VS
23%
Scott
77%
Hermansson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:50
BS
Brad Scott
"Bear"
11 – 6
6'1"76" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
Jack
Jack Hermansson
"The Joker"
24 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hermansson

Hermansson is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hermansson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hermansson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Scott
Hermansson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
+77"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Scott
Hermansson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.8
53.8
40.7
Performance Avg
48.1
43
Quality of Victory
42
41
Momentum Score
97
Scott
Hermansson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.1
40%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
35
0
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
0Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground34
Scott
Hermansson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Scott
Hermansson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/17 fights
Chin rating based on
19/34 fights
Scott
Hermansson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
97
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Scott
Hermansson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
55%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Scott
Hermansson
Striking0.8 / 3.9Volume3.4 / 4.8Grappling6.1 / 3.3Wrestling4.3 / 2.3Submission6.7 / 2.7Pressure5.8 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Scott
Strike Zones
Hermansson
Scott
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
35HEAD0BODY3LEGS38 absorbed
Hermansson
Attacking
35HEAD0BODY3LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hermansson targets the head (92% of attacks) — Scott absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Scott
RND
Hermansson
0/0R00/0

Scott · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0106.4L5.0W5.5L5.2W5.5L4.5W2.4L5.5L2012-122014-032016-022017-082018-05
WinLossTrend

Hermansson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W2.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5W6.1W5.0W4.5W3.1L5.3W6.3L5.9W6.6L5.2W4.2L6.5W3.1L3.1L2016-092018-052020-072022-122025-11
WinLossTrend

Scott · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Carlo Pedersoli Jr.Rating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
L · KO · R1
Jack HermanssonRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
W · Dec · R3
Scott AskhamRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
W · Sub · R2
Dylan AndrewsRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05

Hermansson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Joe PyferRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Roman DolidzeRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07

News & Media

Brad Scott · Jack Hermansson
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