UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Jan 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Rua
48%
Potieria
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:05
MR
Mauricio Rua
"Shogun"
27 – 14
6'1"76" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideStriker
CFR 35
Ihor
Ihor Potieria
"Duelist"
20 – 8
Well-Rounded3-fight slide29 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'3"
CFR 33

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rua

This is a genuine toss-up — Rua at 52% vs Potieria at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Potieria throws more volume but Rua connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Rua's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Potieria has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Rua
Potieria
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
76"+
Reach
75"
44
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Rua
Potieria
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.0
32.5
49.7
Performance Avg
35.5
51
Quality of Victory
43
46
Momentum Score
26
Rua
Potieria
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.6
55%
Strike Accuracy
50%
8.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
8 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
16
3
Body
3
10
Leg
2
RangeRange
17Distance13
0Clinch5
0Ground3
Rua
Potieria
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rua
Potieria
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/41 fights
Chin rating based on
8/28 fights
Rua
Potieria
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
26
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Rua
Potieria
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
50%
8
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rua
Potieria
Striking8.2 / 5.5Volume3.1 / 4.5Grappling0.7 / 1.2Wrestling0.5 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Rua
Strike Zones
Potieria
Rua
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY10LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD3BODY2LEGS21 absorbed
Potieria
Attacking
16HEAD3BODY2LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY10LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rua targets the legs (59% of attacks) — Potieria absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Potieria targets the head (76% of attacks) — Rua absorbs 76% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rua
RND
Potieria
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Rua · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.0L5.5W5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5L5.0W5.5L5.4W5.5L1.5L5.0W2.8L2.1L4.5W4.5W5.5W2.7L6.5W4.5W3.5L6.1L1.5L2007-092011-082014-032018-122023-01
WinLossTrend

Potieria · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0102.8L5.0W3.4L4.5L5.4W2.1L6.6L2.8L2022-072023-052024-022024-102025-01
WinLossTrend

Rua · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Ihor PotieriaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Paul CraigRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Upcoming
Paul Craig
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11

Potieria · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Marco TulioRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Cesar AlmeidaRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Sub · R1
Michel PereiraRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Robert BryczekRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Rodolfo BellatoRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12

News & Media

Mauricio Rua · Ihor Potieria
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