Joe Solecki vs Matt Wiman — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik

Washington, USA

7 Dec 2019

Lightweight

76%

Solecki

24%

Wiman

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Joe Solecki

13 – 6

5'9"70" reachOrthodox32 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 49

Matt Wiman

16 – 10

Well-Rounded3-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'10"

CFR 15

★ Official Result

Joe SoleckiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Matt Wiman · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Solecki

→

Actual result

Solecki wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Solecki is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Wiman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Wiman has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

SoleckiWiman

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Solecki

Wiman

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'9"

Height

+5'10"

70"+

Reach

68"

32+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Solecki

Wiman

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

49.1

15.4

43.6

Performance Avg

46.3

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Solecki

Wiman

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.0

1.2

45%

Strike Accuracy

49%

1.1

Striking Style Score (/10)

3.1

0 KOs

KO Finishes

2 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

1Distance0

1Clinch1

7Ground3

Solecki

Wiman

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

—

Sub Attempts / fight

0.3

4.6

Grappling Style Score (/10)

3.6

3.3

Wrestling Style Score (/10)

2.5

0:00

Control Time (this fight)

0:00

Reversals

Solecki

Wiman

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.8 stoppage

2 fights ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

9/19 fights

Chin rating based on

18/26 fights

Solecki

Wiman

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

3-fight 📉 slide

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

W · Sub · R2

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

Solecki

Wiman

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

40%

50%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Solecki

Wiman

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.1

4.6

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.6

3.3

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.5

4.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

3.0

4.5

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.2

5.9

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.1

Solecki

Strike Zones

Wiman

Solecki

Attacking

9 landed

Absorbing

4 absorbed

Wiman

Attacking

4 landed

Absorbing

9 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Solecki targets the head (67% of attacks) — Wiman absorbs 67% of strikes there

🎯Wiman targets the head (75% of attacks) — Solecki absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Solecki

RND

Wiman

0/0R00/0

Solecki · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1

WinLossTrend

Wiman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6

WinLossTrend

Solecki · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Nurullo AlievRating 6.8

Decision

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L · Dec · R3

Grant DawsonRating 7

Decision

UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

L · KO · R1

Drakkar KloseRating 2.5

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12

W · Sub · R2

Carl DeatonRating 5.2

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02

W · Dec · R3

Alex Da SilvaRating 4.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06

Wiman · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Jordan LeavittRating 3

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12

L · Dec · R3

Joe SoleckiRating 6.2

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12

L · KO · R3

Luis PenaRating 4

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06

W · Dec · R3

Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 4.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11

L · KO · R1

TJ GrantRating 1.5

KO/TKO

UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01

News & Media

Joe Solecki · Matt Wiman

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