METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik
Saint Petersburg, Russia
20 Apr 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
40%
Modafferi
60%
Shevchenko
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RM
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Roxanne ModafferiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Antonina Shevchenko · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Shevchenko
→
Actual result
Modafferi wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Shevchenko holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Modafferi has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Shevchenko has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Shevchenko has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ModafferiShevchenko
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Modafferi
Shevchenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
69"+
Reach
67"
43
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Modafferi
Shevchenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
27.8
34.7
Performance Avg
43.2
36
Quality of Victory
39
15
Momentum Score
73
Modafferi
Shevchenko
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.3
31%
Strike Accuracy
52%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
12
1
Body
9
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance13
0Clinch6
6Ground2
Modafferi
Shevchenko
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Modafferi
Shevchenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/46 fights
Chin rating based on
8/14 fights
Modafferi
Shevchenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
73
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Modafferi
Shevchenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Modafferi
Shevchenko
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
ModafferiShevchenko
Strike Zones
Modafferi
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedShevchenko
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Modafferi targets the head (88% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Shevchenko targets the head (57% of attacks) — Modafferi absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Modafferi
RND
Shevchenko
0/0R00/0
Modafferi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Shevchenko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Modafferi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Casey O'NeillRating 6.7Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Taila SantosRating 5.7Decision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
Shevchenko · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Casey O'NeillRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R2
Andrea LeeRating 3.2Submission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
W · KO · R2
Ariane da SilvaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05