Roxanne Modafferi vs Antonina Shevchenko — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik

Saint Petersburg, Russia

20 Apr 2019

Women's Flyweight

40%

Modafferi

60%

Shevchenko

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Roxanne Modafferi

"The Happy Warrior"

25 – 21

5'7"69" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 19

Antonina Shevchenko

"La Pantera"

10 – 4

Well-Rounded41 yrsSouthpaw67" reach5'8"

CFR 28

★ Official Result

Roxanne ModafferiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Antonina Shevchenko · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Shevchenko

→

Actual result

Modafferi wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Shevchenko holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Modafferi has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Shevchenko has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

ModafferiShevchenko

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Modafferi

Shevchenko

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'7"

Height

+5'8"

69"+

Reach

67"

Age

+41

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Modafferi

Shevchenko

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

18.8

27.8

34.7

Performance Avg

43.2

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Modafferi

Shevchenko

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.2

/ 10

3.5

/ 10

2.8

Style: Pressure

5.0

6.7

Style: Volume

5.0

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

2Distance13

0Clinch6

6Ground2

Modafferi

Shevchenko

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.8

/ 10

3.2

/ 10

1.3

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.2

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

2.5

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Modafferi

Shevchenko

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

1 fight ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

12/46 fights

Chin rating based on

8/14 fights

Modafferi

Shevchenko

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

L · Sub · R2

W · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

Modafferi

Shevchenko

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

25%

50%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Modafferi

Shevchenko

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.5

1.8

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.2

1.3

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.2

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.5

2.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.0

6.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.0

Modafferi

Strike Zones

Shevchenko

Modafferi

Attacking

8 landed

Absorbing

21 absorbed

Shevchenko

Attacking

21 landed

Absorbing

8 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Modafferi targets the head (88% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 88% of strikes there

🎯Shevchenko targets the head (57% of attacks) — Modafferi absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Modafferi

RND

Shevchenko

0/0R00/0

Modafferi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Casey O'Neill

Decision

UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02

L · Dec · R3

Taila Santos

Decision

UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09

L · Dec · R3

Viviane Araujo

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01

W · Dec · R3

Andrea Lee

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09

L · Dec · R3

Lauren Murphy

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06

Shevchenko · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Cortney Casey

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07

L · KO · R2

Casey O'Neill

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10

L · Sub · R2

Andrea Lee

Submission

UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05

W · KO · R2

Ariane da Silva

KO/TKO

UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11

L · Dec · R3

Katlyn Cerminara

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05

News & Media

Roxanne Modafferi · Antonina Shevchenko

← Back to fights