UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik
Saint Petersburg, Russia
20 Apr 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
40%
Modafferi
60%
Shevchenko
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RM
Roxanne Modafferi
"The Happy Warrior"
25 – 21
5'7"69" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
AS
Antonina Shevchenko
"La Pantera"
10 – 4
Well-Rounded41 yrsSouthpaw67" reach5'8"
CFR 28

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Shevchenko

Shevchenko holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Modafferi has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Shevchenko has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Shevchenko has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Modafferi
Shevchenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
69"+
Reach
67"
43
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Modafferi
Shevchenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
27.8
34.7
Performance Avg
43.2
36
Quality of Victory
39
15
Momentum Score
73
Modafferi
Shevchenko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
31%
Strike Accuracy
52%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
12
1
Body
9
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance13
0Clinch6
6Ground2
Modafferi
Shevchenko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Modafferi
Shevchenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/46 fights
Chin rating based on
8/14 fights
Modafferi
Shevchenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
73
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Modafferi
Shevchenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Modafferi
Shevchenko
Striking3.2 / 3.5Volume6.7 / 5.0Grappling1.8 / 3.2Wrestling1.3 / 2.2Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure2.8 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Modafferi
Strike Zones
Shevchenko
Modafferi
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD9BODY0LEGS21 absorbed
Shevchenko
Attacking
12HEAD9BODY0LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Modafferi targets the head (88% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Shevchenko targets the head (57% of attacks) — Modafferi absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Modafferi
RND
Shevchenko
0/0R00/0

Modafferi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.1L5.5L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5W6.3L4.9W6.2L5.7L6.7L2013-112018-112020-012021-012022-02
WinLossTrend

Shevchenko · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.5L5.2W5.8L5.2W3.2L3.9L4.5W2018-112019-082020-112021-102022-07
WinLossTrend

Modafferi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Casey O'NeillRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Taila SantosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06

Shevchenko · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Casey O'NeillRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R2
Andrea LeeRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
W · KO · R2
Ariane da SilvaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05

News & Media

Roxanne Modafferi · Antonina Shevchenko
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