UFC 48: Payback
Las Vegas, USA
19 Jun 2004
Welterweight
VS
94%
St-Pierre
6%
Hieron
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:42
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: St-Pierre
St-Pierre is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
St-Pierre has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 51 points.
St-Pierre has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
St-Pierre's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hieron has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
St-Pierre
Hieron
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
76"+
Reach
75"
45+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
St-Pierre
Hieron
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.6
1.5
67.2
Performance Avg
0.0
51
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
St-Pierre
Hieron
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.5
57%
Strike Accuracy
22%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
1
2
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
13Distance4
2Clinch1
9Ground0
St-Pierre
Hieron
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
St-Pierre
Hieron
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
4/30 fights
St-Pierre
Hieron
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
13-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · R3
L · KO · R1
St-Pierre
Hieron
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
St-Pierre
Hieron
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
St-PierreHieron
Strike Zones
St-Pierre
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedHieron
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯St-Pierre targets the head (92% of attacks) — Hieron absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Hieron targets the body (40% of attacks) — St-Pierre absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
St-Pierre
RND
Hieron
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
St-Pierre · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Hieron · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
St-Pierre · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.2Submission
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R5
Johny HendricksRating 4.5Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
W · Dec · R5
Nick DiazRating 4.5Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
W · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditRating 4.5Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · Dec · R5
Jake ShieldsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
Hieron · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Tyron WoodleyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Jake EllenbergerRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · R3
Jonathan GouletRating 5.5UFC Fight Night 2 · 2005-10
L · KO · R1
Georges St-PierreRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 48: Payback · 2004-06